Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 062136
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
236 PM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 203 PM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND NWLY FLOW IS PARKED OVER THE REGION
HELPING TO INCREASE TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL. MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES OVERNIGHT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT
THEN BACK INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SATURDAY. THE NE PORTION OF THE
CWA WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S DUE TO THE SNOW COVER CLOSER
TO THE FOOTHILLS KEEPING HIGHS A TAD LOWER. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT SURFACE TROUGH.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 203 PM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

AS A WEAK SYSTEM NEARS THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST...A SURFACE
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT.
SOUTHERLY FLOW THAT EVENING WILL DRAW IN SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEWPOINTS
WHICH MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SOME FOG TO FORM OVER THE PLAINS. NAM
POINTS TO THIS SCENARIO WHEREAS THE GFS HAS DRIER DEWPOINTS.
SINCE THE NAM HAS BEEN TOO WET WITH HUMIDITY TODAY...AND WITH SOME
DOWNSLOPING EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE SYSTEMS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
THAT NIGHT...WILL REFRAIN FROM ADDING IT TO THE FORECAST.

THE SYSTEM WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY WITH ENOUGH MIDLEVEL
COOLING FOR SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS...MAINLY
SOUTH OF I70. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER COMPARED TO
SATURDAY. HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES A BIT FURTHER FROM GUIDANCE
OVER THE SOUTHERN METRO AREAS WHERE SNOW COVER MAY STILL HOLD ON
AND WHERE POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD HOLD SOME CLOUD COVER
AGAINST THE SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS DURING THE DAY.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL FEATURE A BUILDING RIDGE OVERHEAD
FOR DRY AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. WEDNESDAY READINGS WILL LIKELY BE IN MID TO UPPER 60S OVER
THE PLAINS AND IN THE 40S AND 50S OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THE NEXT
SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE STATE WILL BE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...KEEPING WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE
STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY
WITH THIS SCENARIO. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY EVENING THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF IT PUSHING OVER
THE PLAINS FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 203 PM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. SKIES WILL
CLEAR OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASED UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN BY
TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE DRAINAGE UNTIL IS SWITCHES
TO A MORE SE DIRECTION BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON THEN SW DRAINAGE
WINDS BY EARLY EVENING.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BOWEN
LONG TERM...KRIEDERMAN
AVIATION...BOWEN


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