Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 101106
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
506 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES ACROSS THE AREA. LIGHT WINDS WILL BE THE NORM IN THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM SONORA STATE OF MEXICO ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA WITH AN UPPER TROUGH FROM THE
APPALACHIANS TO THE EAST COAST MAKES FOR A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A WEAK MID LEVEL IMPULSE MOVING TO
THE SOUTHEAST IN THIS FLOW PRODUCES A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE
PLAINS WITH A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LOWER LEVEL FLOW OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS CAUSES DAYTIME TEMPERATURES TO SOAR TO WELL
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR MID FEBRUARY.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DRIFTS TO THE EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES FRIDAY
AND FLATTENS ACROSS THE PLAINS ON SATURDAY. WEAK MID LEVEL
IMPULSES BRING BRIEF WEAK FRONTAL INCURSIONS INTO CENTRAL TEXAS
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY. NO IMPACTS...OTHER THAN A SLIGHT COOLING OF
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES...THOUGH STILL ABOVE NORMAL...ACROSS CENTRAL
TEXAS. MINOR UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS INTERACTS
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE OF MOISTURE TO POSSIBLY DEVELOP ISOLATED
SHOWERS ALONG/EAST OF THE I-35/I-37 CORRIDORS SUNDAY. THE TROUGH
MOVES EAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY FORCING A COLD FRONT ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT SHIFTS
TO FAR EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA WITH SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS
ONLY ACROSS THOSE AREAS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. EXPECT ONLY
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. COLD ADVECTION IS MINOR
WITH THIS FRONT AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL. FLOW ALOFT
AMPLIFIES A BIT WITH A WESTERN RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES INCREASE AS SOUTHERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW RETURNS.

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HILL
COUNTRY AND ESCARPMENT TODAY AND ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO NEAR
THE COASTAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS
TO 20S AND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  51  80  51  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  75  45  77  47  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     76  45  79  48  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            75  48  78  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           79  44  81  46  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        74  48  78  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             78  42  80  44  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        75  45  77  47  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   73  48  78  52  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       77  47  79  49  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           77  46  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...HAMPSHIRE
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04


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