Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 251744
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1244 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

.AVIATION...
Convective temperature being reached across most of the area and
corresponding radar images show increasing precip coverage across
the region. Earlier convection near Houston airports probably
temporarily stabilized that area, but suspect it`ll recover
shortly and we`ll see some additional precip in the region.
Similar to past several days, anticipate most of the activity to
dissipate early in the evng and remain mostly dry overnight. Some
of the guidance pointing toward some patchy fog and lower end MVFR
or even IFR cigs near the CLL area toward morning as moisture
becomes trapped under weak frontal inversion. Won`t go quite as
pessimistic just yet, but will advertise some sct009`s to start
out. Otherwise, conditions trend back to VFR mid/late Mon morning
with just some sct afternoon cells from CXO southward. 47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Made a few tweaks to the previous forecast. Adjusted the high
temperatures down a degree or two to be more in line with latest
short term guidance. Still expecting scattered to widespread
showers and thunderstorms across SE Texas today, with the most
activity expected over the SW zones due to a plume of higher PWs
over that area. Showers and storms today may produce heavy
rainfall, and rainfall rates of around 2" per hour have already
been observed with storms this morning. Storm motion should be
sufficient enough to limit any flooding impacts to minor street
flooding, however further issues may arise if multiple storms
begin to train over the same area or storm motion slows any
further. 11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      89  72  82  68  82 /  50  70  40  10  10
Houston (IAH)              89  74  88  71  83 /  60  40  60  30  10
Galveston (GLS)            87  78  85  76  82 /  60  40  60  40  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$


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