Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 011954
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
254 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...THE SEA BREEZE HAS PUSHED INTO THE EAST TX LAKES AREA
AND CENLA THIS AFTERNOON WITH ONLY ISOLD ACTIVITY NEAR THE COAST.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES FARTHER NORTH. A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TONIGHT,
HOWEVER A MID TO UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM
THE WEST OVERNIGHT INTO THU MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW A DRIER MID
LVL AIR MASS TO MOVE IN AS WELL HELPING TO DECREASE RAIN CHANCES
FROM THU INTO FRI. DURING FRI AFTERNOON A FEW MORE STORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE AS THE RIDGE RETROGRADES BACK WEST, HOWEVER RAIN CHANCES
WILL REMAIN LOW INTO THE 4TH. THE BIGGEST CAVEAT DURING THU AND
FRI WILL BE THE HIGHER APPARENT TEMPS (100-105) AS ACTUAL HI TEMPS
CLIMB INTO THE LOW 90S TO POTENTIALLY MID 90S ACCOMPANIED WITH THE
LACK OF COOLING STORMS.

DURING THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AGAIN AS A MID LVL TROUGH DIGS INTO THE REGION.

NEXT WEEK GENERALLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS ARE EXPECTED AS THE
SUB TROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE AND AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
ACROSS THE LOWER SOUTH.


&&

.MARINE...THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE WILL REMAIN STRETCHED FROM THE
ATLANTIC ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT TO MODERATE AND SEAS LOW THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND OUTSIDE ANY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  74  94  74  94 /  20  10  10  20
LCH  77  92  77  91 /  20  10  10  10
LFT  76  93  76  92 /  20  10  10  10
BPT  76  93  77  93 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...05


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