Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 022059
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
359 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATE TO CANCEL THE REMAINING FLOOD WATCH AND LOWER QPF AND
POPS. DRIER AIR INFILTRATING BEHIND THE FRONT IS LIMITING SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...AND SHOULD NOT POSE ANY ADDITIONAL
FLOODING THREAT.

DML

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 306 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

DISCUSSION...
WX MAP SHOWS COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH SE TX/W LA THIS AFTERNOON.
SHRA/TSRA HASN`T REALLY MATERIALIZED...AS LARGE AND SVR TSRA
REMAINED OFFSHORE FOR MOST OF THE DAY. INLAND...SCT SHRA/TSRA
CONTINUES...BUT NOTHING REALLY HEAVY OR CAUSING MOST PROBLEMS. FOR
THIS...HAVE DROPPED THE FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL BUT THE HEAVIEST HIT
AREAS THE LAST TWO DAYS...KEEPING IT ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
ACROSS S LA THRU 7 PM.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...COOLER
AND DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE
AREA...ENDING THE PRECIP AS WELL. THUS CONTINUE THE TREND AND
DECREASING POPS DURING THIS PERIOD.

A WELCOME REPRIEVE OF COOLER AND DRY WX WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS NW FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR COOL AND DRY
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA. FOR THE MOST
PART...WE CAN EXPECT LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S WITH HIGHS
NEAR 80/LOWER 80S FOR WED THROUGH FRI.

A WARMING AND SLOWLY HUMIDIFYING TREND WILL COMMENCE OVER THE
WEEKEND. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL
SLOWLY MOVE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND...BRINGING INCREASED MOISTURE
AND LIFT FOR A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEXT MONDAY.

DML

MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION. LIGHT TO
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK...BRIEFLY STRENGTHENING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A DRY FRONT BRINGS
A REINFORCEMENT OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION.

DML

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  61  76  54  79 /  10  10  10   0
LCH  64  78  57  80 /  20  10  10   0
LFT  65  78  58  79 /  20  10  10   0
BPT  62  78  57  81 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ041-
     052>054-073-074.

TX...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ215-
     216.

GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...04



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