Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FXUS64 KLIX 060931
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
331 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH EAST TX IS ON ITS WAY. THIS
WILL SIMPLY BE A REINFORCEMENT TO THE DRY COOL AIR THAT IS ALREADY
IN PLACE. THE FRONT WILL QUICKLYL MOVE THROUGH BY AFTERNOON. THE
ONLY THING THAT WILL BE SEEN FROM THIS MAY BE SOME CLOUDINESS FOR
THOSE EAST OF THE ATCHAFALAYA. CLOUD DECK MAY BE DEEP ENOUGH TO
GET A FEW SHOWERS OUT OF THE FRONT ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
ATCHAFALAYA. DEEP DRY AIR LOOKS TO BE STUBBORN TO MOVE AWAY FROM
SOUTHERN MISS AND SE LA. SO ANY CLOUDS THAT MANAGE TO GET TO THE
MISS RIVER WILL NOT MAKE IT MUCH FARTHER EAST. WE WILL TRANSITION
RAPIDLY TO THE NEXT COLD FRONT FOR MONDAY. THIS ONE WILL HAVE A
LITTLE MORE OF A POLAR FEEL TO IT. IT WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH
QUICKLY ON MONDAY AND SHOULD BE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BY NOON
MONDAY. AGAIN THE ONLY THINGS THAT WILL BE MOST NOTICEABLE FROM
THIS WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS...DP DROP FROM 40S TO 20S...AND NW WINDS
WILL RISE QUITE A BIT MOSTLY OVER MARINE AREAS. THIS FRONT WILL
BE BRIDGED BY A FAST MOVING RIDGE DROPPING FROM THE NORTH CAUSING
ANY CLOUDINESS TO DECAY AS IT MOVES THROUGH. A DEEP UPPER LEVEL
THERMAL TROUGH WILL CAUSE A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDS TO DIG SOUTHWARD
BUT SHOULD STAY JUST NORTH OF THE AREA FOR THE MOST PART MONDAY
EVENING. COOL DRY CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE WITH US THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...
THE NEXT SYSTEM THAT MAY PRODUCE SOME CHANCE OF RAINFALL FOR THE
AREA LOOKS TO MOVE TOWARD US BY THE START OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK
AFTER THIS ONE. BY THAT TIME WE MAY BE LOOKING FOR A BIT OF RAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...

CONDITIONS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY QUIET ON THE WATERS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND BEFORE THE NEXT PUSH OF COLD AIR REACHES THE COASTAL WATERS
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THAT
SYSTEM...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE.  SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR A GOOD PART OF MONDAY...TUESDAY
AND INTO WEDNESDAY. DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF COLD AIR PUSH WE
COULD SEE SOME GUSTS EXCEEDING 34 KNOTS...MOST LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. IN FACT...AT THIS POINT THE POSSIBILITY OF GALE
WARNINGS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT AT ALL WITH WINDS NEAR 30 KNOTS AND
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 KNOTS AND ABOVE LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE....BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ON MISSISSIPPI/PEARL RIVERS.


DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&
98

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  54  31  58  39 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  56  34  59  40 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  56  35  59  42 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  56  40  58  44 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  55  37  57  43 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  55  35  58  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


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