Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLIX 040525
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1125 PM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

.AVIATION...

...06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

LOW STRATUS IS SLOWLY BEGINNNING TO BUILD DOWN OVER THE
TERMINALS...WITH LIFR CEILINGS NOW IN PLACE OVER KGPT...KASD...AND
KHUM. THE OTHER TERMINALS HAVE A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR CEILINGS AS
OF TAF ISSUANCE TIME. EXPECT TO SEE CONTINUED STRATUS BUILD DOWN
THROUGH 12Z...WITH PREVAILING LIFR AND IFR CEILINGS OF 200 TO 1000
FEET EXPECTED AT MOST OF THE TERMINALS. AS THE STRATUS BUILD DOWN
OCCURS...SOME REDUCED VISIBILITIES OF 1 TO 3 MILES WILL BE
POSSIBLE. THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL QUICKLY MIX OUT BY 15Z...AND
EXPECT TO SEE CEILINGS RANGING FROM 2500 TO 5000 FEET FROM 18Z
THROUGH 00Z. SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION COULD ALSO DEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON...AND HAVE VCTS WORDING IN PLACE TO REFLECT THIS RISK.
AFTER 00Z...THE CONVECTION SHOULD END...BUT A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE TERMINALS...KEEPING
VISIBILITIES BETWEEN 2 AND 5 MILES. CEILINGS WILL ALSO SLOWLY DROP
DOWN INTO MVFR RANGE AT ALL OF THE TERMINALS AFTER 00Z. 32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  64  78  35  37 /  20  40  80  50
BTR  66  80  38  40 /  20  30  70  40
ASD  61  77  45  48 /  20  30  50  40
MSY  64  79  47  50 /  20  30  50  50
GPT  61  74  48  48 /  20  40  50  40
PQL  60  75  50  50 /  20  40  50  40

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...EAST BATON
     ROUGE...IBERVILLE...LIVINGSTON...LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER
     LAFOURCHE...LOWER PLAQUEMINES...LOWER ST. BERNARD...LOWER
     TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...ST.
     CHARLES...ST. JAMES...ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST.
     TAMMANY...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER
     PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...UPPER TERREBONNE...AND
     WEST BATON ROUGE.

GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT
     FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
     PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
     AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     HANCOCK...HARRISON...AND JACKSON.

GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT
     FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
     PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
     AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

&&

$$






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