Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 091414
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
614 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET AND DRY
WEATHER TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS WEEK. A WEAK STORM IS
POSSIBLE BY THIS WEEKEND...WITH LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
NORTH OF THE I-80 CORRIDOR
&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...PATCHY FREEZING FOG FORMING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV IMPACTING THE KEKO TERMINAL. EXPECTING
MVFR CONDITIONS WITH OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 16Z AT KEKO.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 233 AM /

SYNOPSIS...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET AND DRY
WEATHER TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS WEEK. A WEAK STORM IS
POSSIBLE BY THIS WEEKEND...WITH LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
NORTH OF THE I-80 CORRIDOR.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER QUIET AND BENIGN
NIGHT WAS HAD BY ALL ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. VERY
DIFFICULT TO SEE ANYTHING SUBSTANTIAL...LIKE A FEW WISPS OF
CIRRUS...ON THIS MORNING`S SATELLITE LOOP.

THIS IS DUE TO STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES. MODELS ARE SHOWING THIS RIDGE BEGINNING TO BREAKDOWN
TODAY...BUT CONTINUE TO EXPECT MAINLY SUNNY SKIES WITH LIGHT
WINDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS CONTINUE TO REFLECT WHERE THE DEEPEST SNOW
PACK RESIDES. WHERE LITTLE OR NO SNOW IS OBSERVED...HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO THE MID 50S. IN AREAS
WITH GOOD SNOW PACK...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN THE
30S. WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE REGION TONIGHT...CLEAR
SKIES WILL BE THE RULE WITH LOWS DIPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
THE MID 20S AND LIGHT WINDS. THERE COULD BE PATCHY FREEZING FOG
FORMATION DUE TO MOISTURE ADDED DUE TO SNOW MELT...SO HAVE KEPT
THAT IN THE GRIDDED FORECAST.

EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH THE
MODELS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE WEAKENING. HOWEVER...THE WEATHER WILL
REMAIN QUIET AND DRY DURING THIS PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID30S TO MID 50S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW 20S. EACH MORNING COULD SEE PATCHY
FREEZING FOG IN VALLEY LOCATIONS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL
REMAIN THE DOMINATE FEATURE OVER THE REGION THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SATURDAY WHEN A SHORT WAVE MOVING
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL BRUSH FAR NORTHERN NEVADA POSSIBLY
BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS TO AREAS NEAR THE OREGON AND IDAHO BORDER.
WITH RIDGE IN PLACE INVERSIONS WILL CONTINUE TO RULE OVER THE SNOW
COVERED VALLEYS. SHORT WAVE SATURDAY MIGHT TEMPORARILY HELP MIX OUT
THE INVERSIONS IN THE NORTH BUT INVERSIONS WILL BECOME
REESTABLISHED AGAIN SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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