Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 271137
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
637 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The weekend looks like more of the same as Friday. Upper ridging is
still the main story with some diurnal thunderstorm activity in the
afternoons. No area seems favored over another for storms so broad-
brushed pops for the day. Any storm activity should dissipate
overnight. Today will be warm again with highs mainly in the low to
mid 90s. A strong storm or two will be possible today and Sunday
with gusty winds. With upper high in place, not much shear is to be
found so these storms will be pulse in nature.

Looking beyond the weekend, to start the week, the upper high
will still be in place. As we get into Wednesday, our upper flow
will transition to northwesterly as we are positioned east of a
central US ridge. Subtle disturbances along this NW flow will
allow for the continuation of diurnal thunderstorm activity. By
the weekend the ridge axis will shift east slightly which could
cut back on diurnal activity. At the sfc, by Wednesday, flow will
shift to the north which will bring down dew points. This will
not be too much of a drastic change, but by Friday dew points
could be in the 60s instead of the 70s. Overall, summer continues
for the foreseeable future.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Light fog this morning will dissipate before 14z. I put a prob30
in for the latter part of the afternoon and first part of the
evening at all terminal locations but think many areas will remain
dry. Upper ridging will dominate through the next 24 hours. Look
for some late night fog again tonight.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......10/Reagan
AVIATION........01/Boyd



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