Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 232034
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
334 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AIRMASS IS IN PLACE BUT WARMUP IS EVIDENT AS A
WEAK DIRTY RIDGE SETS UP WITH THE AXIS JUST TO OUR WEST. THIS
FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED WARMING TREND THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEK. OTW...TOVER VALUES FOR TONIGHT ARE ALL POSITIVE. SINCE
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FOG OCCURRED LAST NIGHT...WE SHOULD NOT SEE
FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. TEMPS TONIGHT SHOULD BE A COUPLE DEGREES
WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT AS THE SFC HIGH MOVES A LITTLE FURTHER
AWAY. HIGH TEMPS NEAR 80 WILL BE COMMON TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

IN THE EXT FCST...AFOREMENTIONED DIRTY RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN AND
WILL BE REPLACED BY A ELONGATED BUT NEBULOUS UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
NATIONS INTERIOR. THE FEATURE WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AS THE
LOWER AND MID LEVELS REMAIN DRY WITH A TREND TOWARD SUBSIDENCE.
BUT...THE FEATURE WILL HOLD ITS POSITION LONG ENOUGH FOR MOISTURE TO
EVENTUALLY MAKE A RETURN ATTEMPT BEGINNING ON SUNDAY. POPS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE HELD DOWN HOWEVER AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN
REMAINS CUTOFF. LATER...TOWARD THE END OF THE EXTENDED...A GULF WAVE
IS INDICATED WITH PERHAPS AN INCREASE IN POPS FORTH COMING.

FOR THE EXT TEMPS...A WARM AND ABOVE NORMAL PATTERN IS IN STORE.
ELEVATED HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPS WELL INTO THE DOUBLE DIGIT
CATEGORY WILL PREVAIL.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      51  80  53  83 /   0   0   0   0
CLARKSVILLE    48  80  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
CROSSVILLE     47  75  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBIA       52  80  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
LAWRENCEBURG   51  80  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
WAVERLY        49  81  51  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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