Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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000
FXZS60 NSTU 020007
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
107 PM SST WED JUL 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...A DIFFUSED STATIONARY FRONT TO THE
NORTH OF THE SAMOAN ISLANDS WILL TRANSITION INTO A SURFACE TROUGH OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WEATHER PHENOMENON WILL LINGER JUST A FEW
HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF TUTUILA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A LARGE-SCALE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WELL SOUTHEAST OF SAMOA WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD
HENCE THE TRADE-WIND REGIME WILL USHER MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE AND
ONLY MINIMAL SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. AS A RESULT...ANTICIPATE
A QUIET FCST PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
.SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS TO THE SOUTH OF THE
AREA WILL YIELD TO RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE INDEPENDENCE
DAY HOLIDAY. A DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TRADE-
WIND FLOW WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS JUST OFF-SHORES OF THE FCST ZONES
STARTING MONDAY. COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE PREVAILING EAST WINDS OF
10 TO 15 KT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDWEEK. AS A RESULT...ANTICIPATE
DRIER CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES DURING THE LONG TERM FCST PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO NEAR 5 TO 7 FT
DURING SATURDAY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT SWELLS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
.A HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

&&

$$

BAQUI







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