Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 161618
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1117 AM CDT MON OCT 16 2017

                 VALID OCTOBER 16 THROUGH OCTOBER 21

...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LEAVING COOLER AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
The cold front that was moving south across Texas over this past
weekend has cleared out of the WGRFC area. The result has been
cooler temperatures and dry conditions as high pressure builds and
dominates the weather over the next few days.

Maximum rainfall reports from the past 24 hours ranged from 0.50
of an inch to just over an 1.00 inch, with Crane, TX reporting the
highest value of 1.05 inches .

Expect dry and pleasant weather over the next few days. Some rain
chances work their way back into the forecast by the end of the
work week into the weekend.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Tuesday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Tuesday into Wednesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Wednesday into Thursday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Thursday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of up to 0.50 of an
inch are forecast for southeast Texas along the extreme gulf coast
in the Corpus Christi area.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is around 13%, and only 3% of Texas is
experiencing moderate drought conditions (mainly over extreme
northeast Texas). In New Mexico, 8% of the state is experiencing
abnormally dry conditions. Very limited rainfall is forecast over
the next 5 days.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Nueces Basin...
...Moderate Flooding...
Lake Corpus Christi continues to release enough water to keep
downstream points at Bluntzer (CBVT2) and Calallen (CAAT2) above
flood stage through the weekend. The lake is above its conservation
pool of 94 feet and inflows from upstream are slowly decreasing.

...Rio Grande Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Rio Grande above the Rio Conchos confluence (PIOT2) is just barely
above flood stage and expected to remain high for a few days. Upstream
irrigation usage makes forecast difficult.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
The remainder of the rivers across the WGRFC area are currently
below criteria levels. No additional significant flooding is
expected over the next five days.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

AUSTIN-SMITH


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