Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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ACUS48 KWNS 240853
SWOD48
SPC AC 240852

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

VALID 271200Z - 021200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THE OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE
MIDDLE/LATE PART OF NEXT WEEK. SOME GUIDANCE VARIABILITY EXISTS
REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF THE EARLY-WEEK CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES/NORTHEAST STATES THROUGH DAYS 4/5 TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR APPEARS
UNLIKELY TO COINCIDE WITH MEANINGFUL MOISTURE/DESTABILIZATION AHEAD
OF AN EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS
MID-WEEK. THEREAFTER...INCREASINGLY PREVALENT HIGH PRESSURE/STABLE
CONDITIONS SHOULD GENERALLY LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK INTO LATE
WEEK.

..GUYER.. 09/24/2016



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