Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FLUS45 KFGZ 270349
HWOFGZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
849 PM MST THU FEB 26 2015

AZZ004>018-037>040-271015-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
849 PM MST THU FEB 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
ARIZONA THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...A TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES...BRINGING RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION
SNOW TO NORTHERN ARIZONA. SNOW LEVELS AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED
TO RANGE FROM 5000-6000 FEET OVER THE KAIBAB PLATEAU...6500-7500
FEET AROUND FLAGSTAFF AND 7000-8000 FEET FOR THE EASTERN MOGOLLON
RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS.

LOWER ELEVATION RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE FOOTHILLS OF THE MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE
MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY. SNOWFALL OF 6-18 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SIGNIFICANT RISES COULD ALSO
OCCUR ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE SNOW LEVELS FROM LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WITH SNOW LEVELS POSSIBLY RISING OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. FLUCTUATING SNOW LEVELS
MAY REDUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...A COLDER SYSTEM COULD AFFECT THE
REGION...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION. SNOW
LEVELS COULD BE AS LOW AS 4-5 THOUSAND FEET. ADDITIONAL HEAVY
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FOR LOWER ELEVATION AREAS.

THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A LONG DURATION RAIN AND SNOW EVENT
FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA...WITH MAJOR TRAVEL IMPACTS.
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$






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