Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 042311
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
611 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR MOST SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND
GUSTY WINDS ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...HI RESOLUTION MODELS
HAVE NOT HANDLED CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF THE VALLEY TOO WELL.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND AND
BRUSH COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CANT RULE OUT A STRONG
STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS WITH MLCAPES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000
J/KG. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD
WANE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED STREAMERS FOLLOWED SOME SEA
BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY...BUT THINK
COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN TODAY. WILL KEEP A 20 POP IN THE
FORECAST FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S ACROSS THE WEST WITH LOWER 90S
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...DRY...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED OVER
THE REGION WHILE MID/UPPER LVL SHEAR AXIS MEANDERS OVER THE AREA.
WILL KEEP DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOMEWHAT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NEEDED AT TIMES DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE
WITH LOW 90S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND TO HIGH 90S OUT WEST FOR
HIGHS...AND LOWS STAYING IN THE 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  91  79  90  79  /  10  20   0  10  10
VICTORIA          76  91  77  90  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
LAREDO            77  99  78  99  79  /  10  10   0  10  10
ALICE             76  94  77  93  77  /  10  20   0  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  89  81  87  81  /  10  20   0  10  10
COTULLA           75  95  76  97  77  /  10  10   0  10  10
KINGSVILLE        77  93  77  92  78  /  10  20   0  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  88  80  87  80  /  10  20   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION



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