Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KCRP 031146 AAA
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
646 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/S DEVELOPING FROM CRP-VCT.
WILL EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON
WITH ACTIVITY SHIFTING FARTHER INLAND TOWARD ALI. MOSTLY VFR THIS
MORNING HOWEVER THERE IS PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING FROM ALI-VCT THAT
SHOULD ONLY LAST THROUGH 13Z-14Z. PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH 15Z...PREVAILING MAINLY AT LRD WITH TEMPOS
ELSEWHERE. A TRANSITION TO OVERALL VFR IS EXPECTED BY LATE
MORNING. AS FOR WINDS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE ARE EXPECTED EARLY
THIS MORNING BECOMING E-SE 10-15 KTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ISOLATED CONVECTION
IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF WATERS MOVING INLAND. THIS
IS ALL DUE TO THE AVAILABILITY OF MOISTURE AND LINGERING AFFECTS
OF THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW. PER SATELLITE IMAGERY...THE LOW IS
NOTICEABLY FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WHEN COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY. THIS WOULD TEND TO LEAD TO A MORE SUBSIDENT PATTERN
FOR SOUTH TEXAS...BUT AGAIN WITH THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE MEASURED
AROUND 1.7-1.9 INCHES VIA GOES SATELLITE...AND COOLER TEMPS
THROUGH H7...THE INSTABILITY REMAINS TO ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE
FARTHER INLAND WITH ALONG THE SEA BREEZE...WITH ISOLATED
DEVELOPMENT STILL POSSIBLE INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY. ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING FROM EAST TO WEST. A SIMILAR SET UP IS
EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...MAINTAINED NEAR
PERSISTENT WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAINS...TO THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY. THIS
WILL ALSO RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES TO SLOWLY RISE BUT OVERALL
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 105 DEGREES.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...EXTENDED FORECAST
CONTINUES THE GRADUAL WEAKENING...BUT NOT ELIMINATION...OF RAIN
CHANCES AS THE UPPER RIDGE LOOSELY CENTERED OVER WEST TEXAS ASSERTS
ITSELF MORE STRONGLY. MOIST INFLOW FROM THE GULF LOOKS TO REMAIN
HIGH ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED DIURNAL SHOWERS OVER EASTERN PARTS OF THE
COASTAL BEND...WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FURTHER WEST. QPFS SHOULD
REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    93  76  93  78  93  /  30  20  30  10  20
VICTORIA          91  73  94  73  93  /  40  20  30  10  20
LAREDO            99  77  99  77 100  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             95  73  95  75  96  /  40  10  20  10  20
ROCKPORT          89  78  89  79  90  /  40  20  40  20  30
COTULLA           99  75  98  75 100  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        94  75  95  77  95  /  30  10  30  10  20
NAVY CORPUS       88  77  89  80  90  /  30  20  40  20  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.