Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 242159
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
359 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Wednesday night)...

Breezy south winds have persisted today with a deepening surface
low moving across the Great Plains. A cold front has moved through
the Texas Panhandle, and will continue tracking further south
overnight. The front will move into the CWA late tonight/early
Wednesday morning, clearing the coast not long after sunrise.
Ahead of this boundary low level moisture will be sufficient for
low stratus clouds to develop. Light patchy fog will also be
possible across the Coastal Plains and eastward. As the front
moves through a few showers will be possible across the Victoria
Crossroads overnight and across the Gulf waters early Wednesday.

After a well above normally warm day, temperatures tonight will
only fall into the low to mid 60s across most locations.
Temperatures tomorrow will stay in the the 70s in wake of the
cold front. Much drier air will filter into the region also behind
this front. Elevated fire danger conditions will be possible as
minimum relative humidity values will be in the upper teens to
lower 20s across inland areas, and in the low to mid 30s along the
immediate coast. North winds will relax overnight, and
temperatures will fall into the low to mid 40s across most areas
Wednesday night.

&&

..LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)...

The GFS/ECMWF deterministic predict the development of a broad upper
trough over the ERN CONUS during the period before shifting EWD
while an upper trough/low develops over the SWRN CONUS/NRN Mexico.
This pattern will maintain a surface ridge over the CWA/MSA during
the period...and isentropic lift/low condensation pressure deficits
(300K) over the CWA/MSA Friday night-Saturday night. Anticipate
patchy light rain/isolated showers over portions of the CWA/MSA
Friday night through early Sunday. GFS deterministic/ensemble mean
suggest drier conditions over the CWA/MSA Sunday night/Monday. GFS
ensemble mean suggests increasing synoptic scale lift Tuesday
associated with the NRN Mexico upper disturbance. Yet...
significantly lowered the POPS relative to the Superblend for
Tuesday over the CWA/MSA owing to uncertainty regarding sufficient
moisture.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    63  77  49  66  49  /  10  10   0   0   0
Victoria          62  73  44  63  41  /  20  10   0   0   0
Laredo            58  75  47  69  46  /   0   0   0   0   0
Alice             61  77  46  68  45  /  10  10   0   0   0
Rockport          63  74  49  64  49  /  10  10   0   0   0
Cotulla           55  74  44  67  42  /   0   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        62  78  47  69  46  /  10  10   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       64  74  52  65  52  /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday For the following
     zones: Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60
     NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel
     from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

LK/84...SHORT TERM
WC/87...LONG TERM



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