Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 220506

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1206 AM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

Issued at 715 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

Lows tonight will dip to the lower and middle 20s as colder air
moves in behind a cold front. Look for dry weather with a gradual
warming trend through the rest of the week and into the holiday
weekend. Highs on Wednesday will be in the middle 30s and warm to
around 50 by Friday.


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 310 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

A cold front was over far southwest Lower Michigan into northwest
Indiana this afternoon. A strong upper level system with favorable
upper level jet dynamics were able to overcome a very dry
environment and produce an area of rain in the vicinity of the
front. The best upper level support was north of the Michigan line
where rainfall amounts exceeded a tenth of an inch. Rainfall
amounts mainly under 0.05 inch are expected over Indiana and Ohio
before midnight. Very low inversion heights should prohibit a lake
response of lake effect rain or snow showers. High pressure will
continue to build in Wednesday with decreasing clouds and cold


.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 353 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

Fairly tranquil weather is ahead this weekend into early next
week. Another cold front will bring a chance for showers Friday
night after a brief warmup Friday. Little if any rainfall is
expected. Highs will cool back down briefly into the 30s by
Sunday. Warmer weather will return by Tuesday with highs
approaching or in the 50s by Tuesday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1206 AM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

Mainly VFR through the period. Lake effect stratocu deck
in cool northwest flow will generally hold between 3-4 kft this
morning, though could see a period of high MVFR. Slight
backing/weaker flow under subsident regime aloft should allow
clouds to break up later today/tonight.


LM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for LMZ043-046.



SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper

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