Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 240102
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
902 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
NO RETURNS ARE SHOWING ON THE FULL SCAN OF THE KBYX RADAR THIS
EVENING. SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 70S ACROSS THE KEYS. WINDS ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH NEAR 5 KNOTS AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS...AND
COOP STATIONS. THE WINDS HAVE SURGED SLIGHTLY OVER FLORIDA BAY AND
THE UPPER KEYS AS THE THERMAL GRADIENT FROM THE HEATING OVER THE
MAINLAND BREAKS DOWN WITH LONG KEY RUNNING AROUND 10 KNOTS...MOLASSES
REEF LIGHT HAS 10 TO 15 KNOTS...AND FOWEY ROCKS SHOWING NEAR 15
KNOTS...ALL BACKING TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST. SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS A
LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH
WILL BE THE DOMINANT FACTOR IN THE FORECAST.

.FORECAST...
THE LARGE RIDGE MENTIONED ABOVE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SLOWLY TO THE
EAST ENGULFING THE FLORIDA KEYS THROUGH THURSDAY. THURSDAY EVENING A
WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE KEYS AREA PROVIDING A SLIGHTLY BETTER
FOCUS FOR LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INCREASING OUR RAIN CHANCES SLIGHTLY
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. NO CHANGES TO THE EXISTING FORECAST WILL BE
REQUIRED IN THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.MARINE...
NO ADVISORY OR CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST
THE WEEKEND. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE
OVER THE KEYS AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND PRODUCING FAIR WINDS AND
FOLLOWING SEAS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AT
THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...1874...THE HIGH TEMPERATURE IN
KEY WEST WAS 89 DEGREES. THIS SET THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURE FOR KEY WEST ON APRIL 23RD...WHICH STANDS 140 YEARS
LATER. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........BWC
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....04
DATA COLLECTION.......VICKERY

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