Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KKEY 051437
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1037 AM EDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING HAVE
DIMINISHED OVER THE MARINE ZONES OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER...A RECENT LOOP OF KBYX REFLECTIVITY SHOWS HOW QUICKLY
ACTIVITY CAN REGENERATE...NOW IN A SMALL HOOP NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF
THE LOWER KEYS. AWAY FROM THE CURRENT ACTIVITY...SKIES ARE PARTLY
CLOUDY...WINDS ARE LIGHT AND ACQUIRING A NORTHWESTERLY
COMPONENT...AND TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 80S.

THE EARLY MORNING LOCAL SOUNDING SHOWS LIGHT BREEZES STILL EXTENDING
THROUGH THE MID LEVELS...AND ALREADY SOME EVIDENCE OF SOUTHWESTERLIES
ABOVE THAT. NO SURPRISES ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AND INHERENT
INSTABILITY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WAS DEBATING TRIMMING OUR
PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FOR THE AFTERNOON...BUT WITH
THE RECENT DEVELOPMENT NEARBY...WILL KEEP A LOW CHANCE THROUGH THE
BALANCE OF THE DAY. MAY ISSUE A ZONE UPDATE WITHIN AN HOUR OR
TWO...BUT THAT WOULD BE TO MAKE A MINOR WIND DIRECTION ADJUSTMENT AND
REMOVE SOME TRANSITIONAL WORDING. THE OTHER SENSIBLE WEATHER ELEMENTS
WERE ADVERTISED WELL ON THE EARLY MORNING ISSUANCE.

&&

.MARINE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE INCLUDED IN THE RECENTLY UPDATED COASTAL
WATERS FORECAST. AWAY FROM ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...EXPECT A MOSTLY GENTLE NORTHWEST TO WEST BREEZE
ACROSS ALL WATERS SURROUNDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.  HAVE PLACED VCSH FOR KEYW
THROUGH 18Z AND AGAIN FOR TONIGHT HOWEVER COVERAGE WILL BE VERY
ISOLATED. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME WEST 5-8 KNOTS.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........04
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....MM
DATA COLLECTION.......BWC

VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/KEY

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT...

WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSKEYWEST
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSKEYWEST


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.