Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KKEY 270217

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1017 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

Currently - A surface ridge extends from the North Atlantic, across
Florida, into the gulf of mexico, resulting in gentle mostly east
breezes across the Florida Keys. Aloft, a sharp ridge over the Gulf
of Mexico and a trough over the Bahamas has a brought quite a lot of
dry air aloft and subsidence above 750 mb. With that said, a subtle
low level perturbation has become evident on satellite imagery, and
is Doppler radar indicates the development of isolated to scattered
showers. After a swath of unusually dry air at the surface, with dew
points falling into the mid 50s, dew points have rapidly recovered to
the mid 60s, on their way to near 70. Temperatures are currently in
the upper 70s to near 80.

Short Term - Gentle northeast to east breezes will continue
overnight due to ridging to our north. Temperatures are not expected
to move much from where they are, perhaps falling another degree or
two. May nudge pops up slightly to account for the showers
associated with the weak nearby surface trough. Thunderstorms are not
anticipated due to stable conditions above 850 mb.


Gentle northeast to east breezes will prevail across Florida Keys
waters due to ridging to our north. No cautions or advisories are
anticipated. Essentially no changes made in the evening marine


VFR conditions and easterly winds near 10 knots are
expected to continue at the EYW and MTH terminals overnight and
Friday. -SHRA are possible at both terminals overnight but these
will be brief.





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