Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 281006

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
306 AM PDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered thunderstorms from early this morning on
through this evening across most of central NV. Isolated
thunderstorms will develop over eastern Elko County later this
morning on through this afternoon. On Saturday storm coverage
will expand across most of northern and central NV.


.SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday. Thunderstorms early this
morning continuing over far northeastern Nye County, up into
southeastern Eureka and western White Pine Counties. Storms will
expand in coverage later this morning on through the day, however
most activity and heaviest rains are expected over White Pine
County. Storms tonight are possible, with best chances along and
near the highway 50 corridor from Austin to Ely this evening, then
mainly centered over central and northern Lander and Eureka
Counties later tonight into Saturday morning. Thunderstorm
coverage expands to include more of northwestern portions of the
cwa on Saturday, however most activity will continue to be over
the central portion of the CWA. Above normal temperatures continue
through Saturday.

.LONG TERM...Saturday night through next Friday. Long term models
continue to agree on a strengthening high pressure over Great
Basin. Residual moisture remains trapped under the ridge which
coupled with strong diurnal heating will allow for afternoon
convection. The convection should be isolated but will most likely
form each afternoon through next week. As the high gradually
strengthens through the week temperatures will warm. Highs in the
mid 90s early in the week will increase into the upper 90s and
into the 100s by mid week. Lows will continue to remain in the 50s
to 60s through next week.


.AVIATION...Early morning thunderstorms produced from a weak short
wave are impacting near KELY. Further showers and thunderstorms
are expected near both KELY and KTPH this afternoon and possibly
even KEKO. The biggest threat will be gusty outflows from the
thunderstorms with winds to 35kt. outside of the convection VFR
conditions for all terminals for the nest 24 hours.


.FIRE WEATHER...Showers and thunderstorms over central NV early
this morning will expand in coverage to include northeast NV
later this morning and afternoon. Heaviest rains today are
expected in White Pine County.

Thunderstorm activity this evening is expected to be centered
over southern Lander County, northeastern Nye County, and western
White Pine County. Later tonight storm activity will be centered
mainly over northern Lander and Eureka Counties. RH recoveries
tonight will again be very good over most areas, the exception
being zone 467.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible over most of northern
and central NV on Saturday, however most activity will be in
Lander, Eureka, White Pine and southwestern Elko Counties.





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