Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FXUS62 KMHX 251040
AFDMHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
640 AM EDT MON MAY 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
AS OF 640 AM MON...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE
EXTENDING OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE...WHILE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE SE. ANOTHER QUIET/DRY DAY EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH
S/SE FLOW AND AFTERNOON DIURNAL CU. GRADUAL WARMUP CONTINUES...WITH
LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES AND 850MB TEMPS 12-13C SUPPORTING HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
AS OF 245 AM MON...ANOTHER QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA WITH HIGH
IN CONTROL. COULD SEE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT...ESP ALONG
THE COAST WITH MOIST SLY FLOW. LOWS IN THE 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM MON...MID/UPR RIDGE WILL CONT NEAR OR JUST OFF THE
COAST THRU THE PERIOD...THIS WILL SUPPRESS PRECIP CHCS ESPCLY
ALONG THE COAST. EXPECT MCLR TO PC SKIES WITH NEAR TO ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS AS SFC HIGH PRES OFF THE COAST KEEPS WINDS MAINLY
FROM THE S. LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 6OS WITH AROUND 70
BEACHES. HIGHS WILL WARM FROM LOW TO MID 80S INLAND TUE TO UPR
80S AROUND 90 LATER IN PERIOD...BEACHES WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER.

WILL CONT WITH SLIGHT POPS INLAND THU AND FRI AFTN AS AXIS OF
DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BE NEAR THIS AREA...AND INLAND MOVING SEA BRZ
COULD LEAD TO SOME ISOLD CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 640 AM MON...PRED VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD. S/SE WINDS AROUND 10KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 15KT THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH FEW/SCT CU EXPECTED.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM MON...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THERE WILL BE TYPICAL THREAT OF PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG AS
LOW LVLS GRAD MOISTEN BUT COVERAGE AND DURATION SHLD BE QUITE
LIMITED. ALSO COULD BE SOME ISOLD SHRA/TSRA DURING AFTN/EARLY
EVENING DEEP INLAND LATE IN WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 640 AM MON...LATEST OBS SHOW SE WINDS 5-10KT AND SEAS
1-3FT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH THE PERIOD
RESULTING IN S/SE WINDS 5-15KT AND SEAS 2-3FT. PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO
10-15KT.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM MON...PERSISTENT PATTERN WILL CONT WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OFFSHORE MAINTAINING MAINLY S WINDS 5 TO 15 KTS. SPEEDS
WILL BE LOWEST LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING AND PEAK DURING AFTN AND
EARLY EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL KEEP SEAS IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE
THRU THE PERIOD...HIGHEST OUTER WATERS.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...CQD
NEAR TERM...CQD
SHORT TERM...CQD
LONG TERM...RF
AVIATION...CQD/RF
MARINE...CQD/RF



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