Area Forecast Discussion
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FXPQ60 PGUM 251940

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
540 AM ChST Fri May 26 2017

.Marianas Synopsis...Quiet weather will prevail for much of the
next week with easterly trades. Seas will rise a bit into the
weekend before subsiding on Monday.


Current radar shows isolated showers once again this morning
mainly both east and west of Rota and Guam. Otherwise not much to
speak of weather-wise as we go into the holiday weekend, besides
isolated showers. Guidance continues to suggest more cloudiness
Saturday night through Sunday. Seas will build into Sunday before
subsiding Monday into Tuesday. Surf will increase to 4 to 6 feet
on east facing reefs by Sunday.  Consequently, rip current
potential will rise into the Moderate category beginning tonight
through the remainder of the holiday weekend. But overall, no
significant changes have been made to the forecast.


.Eastern Micronesia...
Trade-wind convergence continues to generate showers and thunderstorms
across the region, mainly south of 6N. Models agree on the convergence
zone shifting northward today and tonight the next couple of days, and
bringing increased showers to Pohnpei by Saturday. At Majuro, isolated
thunderstorms will slowly develop tonight. On Sunday, drier weather is
expected to return to most locations.


.Western Micronesia...
Quiet weather is seen through most of the area except for some showers
and thunderstorms found south of Chuuk along 5N. Convection has nearly
all dissipated along a surface trough passing Koror, but a new surface
trough will bring a second round of showers and thunderstorms to Palau
over the weekend. Yap should expect some clouds to move into the area,
but most showers and thunderstorms will stay to the south. Chuuk State
will see a few showers and thunderstorms moving into the area Saturday
as trade-wind convergence shifts into the area from the southeast.


Marianas Waters...None.


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