Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KTAE 271712
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
112 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

The stalled front lies just south of our forecast area. Daytime
heating on the "dry" side of the front over our area has begun to
initialize a light seabreeze as can be seen in the surface
observations and radar imagery. The inland extension of the
seabreeze will be capped by drier air to the north, so chances
for showers and thunderstorms decrease sharply when you move north
of a line from Valdosta to Panama City. Temperatures are generally
about where they`ll peak today- in the mid to upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Wednesday]...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible along the line
from ECP-TLH-VLD. Visibilities or ceilings may briefly drop to
MVFR during storms, but otherwise, expect VFR to prevail through
the period. Light winds from the northeast will calm overnight and
become more easterly tomorrow.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [634 AM EDT]...

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Thursday]...

Some drier air across the northern half of the area will tend to
suppress convection there through Wednesday with PoPs below
average for this time of year. However, there will still be
decent moisture and the seabreeze to support scattered afternoon
convection across the Florida panhandle and big bend as well as
adjacent areas of southern Georgia. By Thursday, deep layer
moisture is expected to increase with a return to seasonal
scattered convection areawide. High temperatures will generally
range from the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows mainly in the
lower 70s.


.LONG TERM [Thursday Night Through Tuesday]...

Seasonal chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected to
continue each day through the period with PoPs in the 40-50% range.
scattered convection areawide. Seasonal temperatures are expected
as well with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and
overnight lows in the lower 70s.


.MARINE...

A typical summertime pattern will persist with daily chances of
showers and thunderstorms and low winds and seas outside of
thunderstorms.


.FIRE WEATHER...

There are no fire weather concerns as RH will stay above critical
thresholds for the next several days.


.HYDROLOGY...

Most of our area rivers have receded in after a round of heavy rain
last week. A few points along the Choctawhatchee River remain in
action stage, but are not expected to rise to flood stage.
Scattered storms will be possible the next few days in the FL Big
Bend and south central GA, but rainfall totals will generally be
below an inch. No flooding is anticipated for the next several
days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   71  90  73  87  73 /  10  30  30  50  30
Panama City   74  84  75  84  76 /  10  30  30  50  30
Dothan        70  90  72  84  72 /   0  30  20  50  30
Albany        70  90  72  87  73 /   0  20  10  50  30
Valdosta      70  89  72  88  72 /  10  20  10  50  30
Cross City    71  89  72  88  73 /  30  50  20  50  30
Apalachicola  74  85  76  85  76 /  20  30  30  50  30

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Moore
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...Moore
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...Weston
HYDROLOGY...Moore



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.