Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 310539
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
139 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

.AVIATION...
31/06Z-01/06Z. BKN-OVC VFR CIGS as areas of SHRA/RA sweep through
overnight with TEMPO MVFR/LCL IFR. Conditions deteriorate with
prevailing MVFR GIGS and ra at end of period. S-SW winds not more
than 12KT become southerly and increase with gusts.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 951 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016/

.Hurricane Watch in effect for Coastal Levy, Coastal Citrus,
Coastal Hernando, and Coastal Pasco counties, and the northern
Coastal Waters out to 60NM...
.Tropical Storm Watch in effect for Inland Levy, Inland Citrus,
Inland Hernando, and Inland Pasco counties...

SHORT TERM (Rest of tonight)...
TD#9 in the south-central gulf is moving west-northwest but is expected
to turn toward the north-northwest. Please refer to the latest advisories
from the National Hurricane Center for details. Abundant clouds
and areas of showers/rain with a few thunderstorms will continue
to move north across the area. Current forecasts on track with
only minor adjustments to precipitation coverage this evening.

MARINE...
As tropical depression #9 tracks across the gulf conditions will
continue to deteriorate with a hurricane watch on northern waters
and a small craft advisory beginning south of there later tonight.
TD #9 is expected to move ashore northern FL late THU or early
FRI. High pressure builds in for the weekend.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  85  77  84  78 /  80  70  80  70
FMY  85  78  86  78 /  50  60  60  50
GIF  85  76  84  76 /  70  50  70  60
SRQ  85  80  85  80 /  70  70  80  70
BKV  84  76  83  77 /  70  70  90  70
SPG  84  78  85  79 /  80  80  80  70

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...Hurricane Watch for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-
     Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco.

     Tropical Storm Watch for Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-
     Inland Levy-Inland Pasco.

Gulf waters...Hurricane Watch for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to
     Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Thursday for Coastal
     waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL
     out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL
     out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon
     Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

AVIATION...RR
PREVIOUS...RR/JM/PC/DN/EJ/TF/TD


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