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000
FXUS62 KTBW 301249
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
849 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.SHORT TERM (Today)...
Deep moist cyclonic flow will continue across much of the area
today...generally south of a frontal boundary stretched southwest
to northeast through Citrus County. North of that boundary drier
air will keep rain chances limited to nil while locations to the
south can expect scattered to numerous showers and isolated to
scattered thunderstorms tracking from the Gulf and across the
coast to the interior in southwest and west flow. Forecasts handle
this nicely but have adjusted the near term weather and pops
slightly. This is reflected in the point and click forecast but
will have no impact to the text forecasts.

.AVIATION...
30/12Z--1/12Z. Prevailing VFR although brief MVFR/LCL IFR in
VCNTY SHRA/TSRA moving east during the day. Best odds of TSRA
will be at SW FL terminals. SW winds become W at less than 10KT
except gusty near TSRA.


&&

.MARINE...
A frontal boundary across the northern waters and a surface ridge
through south FL will provide northwest to southwest winds...from
north to south...at no more than 10 knots. although higher winds
and seas can be expected near thunderstorms.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  87  72  88  75 /  40  10  40  30
FMY  88  74  90  74 /  60  30  50  30
GIF  88  71  88  73 /  50  30  40  30
SRQ  87  73  88  74 /  40  20  40  30
BKV  88  66  88  70 /  30  10  30  20
SPG  87  75  87  76 /  40  20  40  30

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Saturday evening for
     Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
     Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...09/Rude
UPPER AIR...05/Carlisle
DECISION SUPPORT...57/McMichael