Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 010101 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
901 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.UPDATE...
A LINE OF STORMS DEVELOPED ALONG THE SUNCOAST AND IN SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WHEN THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE COLLIDED
WITH THE GULF COAST SEA BREEZE. SOME STRONG STORMS PRODUCED
DAMAGING WINDS AND AT LEAST ONE REPORTED WATERSPOUT TODAY.
ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 4 AS THE LINE OF
STORMS HAS MOVED NORTHWEST THROUGH THE NATURE COAST AND THE
COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING. ACTIVITY BEHIND THE LINE SHOULD
DIMINISH INTO THE OVERNIGHT. MADE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE
FORECAST BASED OFF OBSERVED TRENDS...NO UPDATES TO THE ZONES ARE
EXPECTED AT THIS POINT.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE
SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS LATER ON MONDAY...WITH CONVECTION POSSIBLE IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AGAIN ON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND
FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL KEEP WINDS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND SEAS BELOW
3 FEET FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE SEA BREEZE WILL SET UP ALONG
THE COASTLINE EACH DAY TURNING THE WINDS TO AN ONSHORE FLOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY
DEVELOPING OVER LAND AND THEN PUSHING WESTWARD OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONLY EXPECTED HAZARD WILL BE
GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  77  93  78  92 /  30  50  20  50
FMY  75  94  76  92 /  20  60  10  50
GIF  75  94  75  93 /  10  50  10  40
SRQ  75  92  76  91 /  30  60  20  50
BKV  72  93  73  93 /  40  50  20  40
SPG  79  92  80  91 /  30  60  30  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...02/GARCIA
MARINE...18/FLEMING
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES...57/MCMICHAEL




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