Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 080146
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
946 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.UPDATE...
CONVECTION HAS WOUND DOWN QUICKLY THIS EVENING WITH JUST A FEW
SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER PORTIONS OF LEVY COUNTY. ELSEWHERE SOME
LEFTOVER MID/HIGH LEVEL DEBRIS CLOUDS REMAIN...BUT THESE WILL
CONTINUE TO THIN AND DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES RETURNING. ON WEDNESDAY THE RIDGE AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTH SOME WITH A MORE SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE
REGION AND THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPING DURING THE
AFTERNOON. PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE AND WITH THE
EXPECTED FLOW WE SHOULD SEE BEST RAIN CHANCES ALONG THE INTERSTATE
75 CORRIDOR. OVERALL THE CURRENT GRIDS/ZONE FORECAST LOOK ON TRACK
AND WILL ONLY UPDATE TO REMOVE RAIN CHANCES FOR LAND AREAS FOR
THE REST OF TONIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONVECTION HAS COME TO AN END WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING OVERNIGHT. THEN ANOTHER TYPICAL SUMMER DAY IS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH SOME AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE
AS DAYTIME HEATING GETS UNDERWAY DURING THE LATE MORNING FOLLOWED
BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS CONVECTION COULD CAUSE SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO AROUND 30 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...
A MORE EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL SETUP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE NEAR THE COAST EACH DAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION COULD MOVE WESTWARD OUT INTO THE
GULF WATERS DURING THE EVENING HOURS AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS EACH DAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  91  77  92 /   5  50  30  40
FMY  75  93  74  93 /   5  60  30  50
GIF  74  93  75  93 /   5  40  20  30
SRQ  74  92  75  91 /   5  40  30  40
BKV  72  92  72  93 /   5  50  30  40
SPG  79  91  79  91 /   5  40  30  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...69/CLOSE
DECISION SUPPORT...09/RUDE


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