Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 170845
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
345 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today-Monday)...
Mid/upper level ridging will remain over the Florida Peninsula
while surface high pressure along the southeast U.S. coast today
will drift out into the Atlantic Ocean tonight and Monday, but
ridge back across Florida. Therefore, the fair and dry pattern
weather will persist with temperatures and dew points continuing
to moderate back to several degrees above normal. The only problem
through Monday will be the potential for fog, some of which could
become locally dense, late tonight into early Monday morning.

.MID TERM/LONG TERM (Monday night-Saturday)...
Ridging at the surface and aloft will keep warm and dry conditions
in place across the area through Wednesday. A disturbance moving
just to the north of the region will then allow for a weak front
to settle into the northern half of the area and bring 20-30
percent rain chances for Wednesday night and Thursday. This
boundary washes out with ridging returning across the area for the
rest of the period. Temperatures will be above normal through the
period with highs generally in the mid 70s to lower 80s each day
and lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s each night.

&&

.AVIATION...
Some patchy fog could affect the inland TAF sites early this
morning, otherwise VFR conditions are expected to prevail into
early tonight. Late tonight into early Monday morning areas of
fog are anticipated with MVFR/local IFR conditions possible
especially over inland areas.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure north of the region today will setup a southeast
flow across the waters through Monday with a shift to onshore
near the coast with the sea breeze during each afternoon. This
area of high pressure will shift eastward a bit, but continue to
ridge across Florida through midweek, with winds gradually
shifting from southeast to southwest. No headlines are expected
for the next several days.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Relative humidity values will remain above critical levels with no
fire weather issues expected through the week as plentiful moisture
remains across the region. Some fog will be possible late each night
into the early morning hours which could become locally dense at
times.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  80  64  82  63 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  82  63  85  63 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  80  61  83  61 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  80  61  82  61 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  79  57  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  77  66  80  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...69/Close
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...24/Hubbard



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