Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

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000
FXXX12 KWNP 240031
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2017 Jan 24 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. Region 2628 (N12E07, Dso/beta) was
relatively stable over the period while slight decay was observed in
Regions 2626 (N08W63, Hsx/alpha) and 2627 (N06W12, Dai/beta). Region
2625 (N01W77) decayed to a plage region. No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed in available coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class
flares and a slight chance for M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate)
over the next three days (24-26 Jan) due to the flare potential from
Regions 2627 and 2628.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate to high levels with
a maximum flux of 1,184 pfu observed at 23/1750 UTC. The greater than
10 MeV proton flux continued at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate to
high levels all three days of the forecast period (24-26 Jan). The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background
levels.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were indicative of a waning positive polarity CH
HSS influence over the period. Solar wind speed decreased from
approximately 500 km/s to 400 km/s. Total field ranged from 1-6 nT
while the Bz component was variable ranging between -5 nT and 3 nT. Phi
angle was oriented in a positive (away) sector.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to gradually decline to nominal
levels over the next three days (24-26 Jan) as CH HSS influence
subsides.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominately quiet levels
over the next three days (24-26 Jan).



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