Fire Weather Outlook Discussion Issued by NWS
000
FNUS28 KWNS 182030
FWDD38
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
VALID 201200Z - 261200Z
ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS THROUGH
DAY 8...GENERALLY THE CNTRL U.S. LOW/TROUGH ON DAY 3/MON WILL
TRANSITION TO THE E/NE BY DAY 8/SAT. BY THE END OF THE WEEK...COOL
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SWD INTO THE EASTERN U.S. AN UPPER
RIDGE WILL MOVE FROM THE WEST TO THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY BY
DAY 8. A LARGE AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL BUILD INTO THE WEST FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY INCREASING THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER
ARIZONA INTO NEW MEXICO.
THROUGH THE PERIOD...IT WILL REMAIN VERY WARM AND DRY ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHWEST. AS THE REMNANTS OF THE CNTRL U.S. UPPER TROUGH BEGIN
TO MOVE EWD...ONE MORE DAY OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY BEFORE WINDS BRIEFLY
DIMINISH ON TUESDAY. THEREAFTER...FROM D5/WED THROUGH
D8/SAT...SW/WLY WINDS WILL BE 10 TO 20 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.
THE WINDS...COMBINED WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW
HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS
OF THE SOUTHWEST WHERE FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY.
..BOTHWELL.. 05/18/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...