Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS21 KWNS 010840
FWDDY1

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 AM CST SUN FEB 01 2015

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY-MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS INDICATE BROADLY CYCLONIC MIDLEVEL
FLOW OVER NWRN MEXICO THAT EXTENDS INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...WITH
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS. THE TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ALONG ITS EWD/ESEWD TRACK TOWARD THE OH AND TN
VALLEYS THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE BROADLY ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS
MUCH OF THE WEST. AS THIS OCCURS...THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA OF
BROADLY CYCLONIC MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL BE SHUNTED S OF THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER. AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN AS IT
DEVELOPS EWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-MS VALLEY TO THE CNTRL
APPALACHIANS. A COLD FRONT TRAILING SW OF THE LOW WILL ADVANCE
SWD/EWD...AND EXTEND FROM THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS TO THE ERN GULF
COAST BY LATE TONIGHT. MODERATE TO STRONG NWLY TO NLY SFC WINDS WILL
BE PERVASIVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/S-CNTRL CONUS FOLLOWING
FRONTAL PASSAGE. HOWEVER...ASSOCIATED COLD ADVECTION WILL OFFSET
DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RISES AND MITIGATE RH REDUCTIONS...THUS
MINIMIZING THE FIRE-WEATHER RISK. WHILE DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN AND CA...WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE LIGHT THUS MITIGATING THE FIRE-WEATHER RISK. ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE CONUS...QUIESCENT FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.

..COHEN.. 02/01/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...




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