Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 030829
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0328 AM CDT TUE MAY 03 2016

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH-RIDGE-TROUGH PATTERN WILL EXIST OVER THE CONUS ON D2/WED.
PRIMARY FOCUS FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE WITH A LARGE-SCALE
UPPER TROUGH MOVING SLOWLY EWD FROM THE ERN PACIFIC TO THE WEST
COAST BY WED EVENING. ENHANCED MID-LEVEL WINDS ATTENDANT TO THIS
TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE SWRN CONUS INTO THE GREAT BASIN
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WITH DIURNAL MIXING ALLOWING FOR SOME MOMENTUM
TRANSPORT OF THE THESE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO THE SFC...A BROAD
AREA OF SLOWLY INCREASING SLY WINDS APPEARS PROBABLE ACROSS THE SWRN
CONUS ON D2/WED.

...PORTIONS OF THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY INTO WRN AZ...
AN ELEVATED AREA HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER CO
RIVER VALLEY AND ADJACENT WRN AZ...AS STRONG/GUSTY SLY WINDS OF
15-20 MPH WILL LIKELY COMBINE WITH RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT WED
AFTERNOON. LATEST FUEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FINE FUELS ARE SUFFICIENTLY
DRY TO SUPPORT FIRE SPREAD. WITH STRONGER MID-LEVEL WINDS FORECAST
TO ARRIVE LATE WED EVENING /AFTER PEAK HEATING AND A MINIMUM IN RH
VALUES/ CONFIDENCE IN SUSTAINED SFC WIND SPEEDS OF 20+ MPH FOR 3 OR
MORE HOURS WED AFTERNOON IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE A CRITICAL AREA AT
THIS TIME.

..GLEASON.. 05/03/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$



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