Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 091648
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1048 AM CST FRI DEC 9 2016

                VALID DECEMBER 9 THROUGH DECEMBER 14

...LIGHT RAINFALL IN EASTERN TEXAS THIS WEEKEND SNOW IN COLORADO...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

A strong cold front made its way across Texas during the past couple
of days ushering in the coldest temperatures of the season thus far.
The boundary is now out of the area, and so a cold and dry day is
expected nearly everywhere in the WGRFC area of responsibility this
Friday.

Temperatures rebound slightly across the WGRFC area during the
upcoming weekend. With the departing high pressure and available
moisture, some light showers are in the forecast for eastern and
southeastern Texas this weekend, and snow can be expected in western
Colorado. Next week, Texas will be mostly dry but periodic snowfall
will continue in western Colorado.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Saturday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.5
inch are forecast for southern Colorado.

For Sunday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of up to 0.25 inch are
forecast for eastern and southeastern Texas and for southern
Colorado and far northern New Mexico.

For Monday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.5
inch are forecast for southern Colorado.

The rainfall late last week into the weekend significantly
improved the drought conditions across the eastern sections of
the WGRFC area. In Texas,the area considered to be abnormally
dry is now 18%. Also, 5% of Texas is experiencing moderate drought
conditions and only 0.65% remains in severe drought. There were no
changes for New Mexico with around 54% of the state experiencing
abnormally dry conditions,with 5% remaining in moderate drought.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
Some residual flooding effects remain from the last round of rainfall
across the WGRFC area of responsibility.  Moderate flooding
continues in the lower Guadalupe basin near Bloomington (DUPT2).
Some minor flooding continues in the San Antonio basin near Goliad
(GLIT2). Some out of bank levels continue in the Neches, Sabine, and
San Jacinto basins.

All other affected rivers are at or near normal levels. Heavy
rainfall is not anticipated over the next five days, so renewed rises
are not expected.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

PHILPOTT


$$





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