Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 301723
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1122 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

                 VALID JANUARY 30 THROUGH FEBRUARY 4

...RAIN EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY FOR MOST PORTIONS
OF THE WGRFC FORECAST AREA...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

As the upper low moves across southern California in cobination with
a shortwave trough pushing southeast down into Colorado, southern
Colorado and New Mexico will continue receiving precipitation.   As
the system continues moving to the east Texas will receive
widespread rainfall Friday through Saturday and then clearing out on
Sunday into Monday.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Saturday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.5 inches are forecast souther Colorado, western New
Mexico, and western Texas including the panhandle.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 1 inches
are forecast across much of Texas.

For Sunday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 0.5 inches are
forecast in southeast Texas.

For Monday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inches are
forecast along the Texas coast.

Moderate or worse drought conditions continue across parts of New
Mexico and Texas. In Texas, about a third of the state
is experiencingmoderate or worse drought (39%), and about 11% has
extreme to exceptional drought conditions. In New Mexico, nearly
two thirds of the state is experiencing moderate or worse drought
(65%), and 4% has extreme to exceptional drought conditions. With
the exception of east and southeast Texas, soils are generally dry.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Trinity River at Moss Bluff (MBFT2) is cresting above flood
stage.  Moss Bluff will begin slowly falling later today into this
weekend.

...Neches Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
Minor flooding continues on the Neches and Angelina rivers.
Flooding near Diboll (DIBT2) and Lufkin (LUFT2) will continue for
the next few days.  Attoyac Bayou near Chireno (ATBT2) will slowly
fall below criteria.

...Sabine Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Sabine  River at Deweyville (DWYT2) remains steady above minor
flood criteria at this time based on reservoir releases upstream.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
All other forecast locations are at or near seasonal flows.
Forecast rainfall this weekend and next week could generate some
runoff, especially over the coastal basins and basins across
Southeast Texas where soils are saturated. Widespread river
flooding is not expected over the next 5 days.



              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

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