Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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Hydrometeorological Forecast Discussion
NWS North Central River Forecast Center Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1148 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

Northern Indiana and southwest Michigan is experiencing historic
flooding due to an unusual event where substantial amounts of
rainfall has runoff of frozen ground plus melting snow. Many
records will be broken from this event.

Much of lower Michigan, Illinois, and Wisconsin is experiencing
moderate to major flooding from similar conditions seen in
Michigan. The mainstemp Illinois is being feed all this high
tributary flow thereby creating expected major flooding all
the way down to the Mississippi River.

The Mississippi River is also being pushed from very low
stages to minor flood stages in a very short time due to
the accumulation of all the upstream rivers.

In the next few days very heavy rainfall in southern
Illinois and Missouri could create additional major flooding.

River forecasts routinely incorporate 24 hours of QPF from
April 1 to September 30 and 48 hours from October 1 to March 31.
See http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_QPF_NcrfcCurrentQpf

...Forecast Activity...
RVF forecasts issued today.  Issue times are in UTC.
Subtract 6 hrs for CST, 5 hrs for CDT/EST, 4 hrs for EDT.

RVF  Forecast Group description             Issue Time
CAL Little Calumet R Basin             2018-02-21 15:27 UTC
CIW Cedar/Iowa R Basin                 2018-02-21 15:29 UTC
EWS Ern Wisconsin Basins to Lk MI      2018-02-21 15:35 UTC
GND Grand, Muskegon/White Basins, MI   2018-02-21 15:56 UTC
KBM Kaskaskia and Big Muddy R Basin    2018-02-21 15:58 UTC
KDF Illinois R tribs abv LaSalle, IL   2018-02-21 15:38 UTC
KDF Illinois R tribs abv LaSalle, IL   2018-02-21 15:44 UTC
KSJ Kalamazoo/St Joseph Bsns-MI & IN   2018-02-21 15:44 UTC
M10 Miss. R - Lake City, MN-L&D 10     2018-02-21 15:26 UTC
M19 Miss. R - L&D 11-Gregory Landing   2018-02-21 16:44 UTC
MEC Meramec R Basin                    2018-02-21 14:17 UTC
MIS Miss. R - L&D 20 to Chester, IL    2018-02-21 17:37 UTC
MIS Miss. R - L&D 20 to Chester, IL    2018-02-21 17:38 UTC
NLM Northern Lower Michigan rivers     2018-02-21 15:34 UTC
RCK Rock R Basin                       2018-02-21 16:43 UTC
SMS Southeastern Michigan Streams      2018-02-21 16:29 UTC
SMW Saginaw Basin in MI                2018-02-21 14:06 UTC
SSL Illinois R tribs blo LaSalle, IL   2018-02-21 16:05 UTC
TIA Misc Iowa Tribs to Miss. R         2018-02-21 16:28 UTC
TMO NE Missouri Tribs to Miss. R       2018-02-21 14:51 UTC
WIS Wisconsin R Basin                  2018-02-21 15:25 UTC

=====================================================================

Sites with forecasts above major flood level (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
KDF DAVI3 Davis - Hwy 30 Br - Kankakee R                  10.0   13.2
KDF PYMI3 Plymouth - Yellow R                             13.0   17.1
KDF KNXI3 Knox - WWTP - Yellow R                          10.0   13.2
KDF DBRI3 Dunns Bridge - Kankakee R (Wheatfield 5NE)      10.0   13.2
KDF KTSI3 Kouts - 5S - Kankakee R                         11.0   14.3
KDF SLBI3 Shelby - Kankakee R                              9.0   13.4
KDF RZLI3 Rensselaer - WWTP & Iroquois R                  12.0   16.6
KDF IRQI2 Iroquois - Iroquois R                           18.0   25.6
KDF MILI2 Milford - 1W - Sugar Cr                         18.0   28.0
KDF CHBI2 Chebanse - 5E - Iroquois R                      16.0   22.8
KDF LEMI2 Lemont - 1NW - Des Plaines R                    10.0   12.4
KSJ MOTM4 Mottville - St Joseph R                          8.0   10.2
KSJ GSHI3 Goshen - Elkhart R                               7.0   13.2
KSJ EKMI3 Elkhart - Public Works - St Joseph R            24.0   28.1
KSJ SBNI3 South Bend - WWTP - St Joseph R                  5.5   13.0
KSJ NILM4 Niles - WWTP - St Joseph R                      11.0   16.7
RCK BCHW3 Blanchardville - 2S- E Br Pecatonica R          11.0   16.1
RCK MLII2 Moline - Rock R                                 12.0   14.9

Sites with forecasts above moderate flood level (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
CAL LCMI3 Munster - Little Calumet R                      12.0   16.1
CAL SHLI2 South Holland - Little Calumet R                16.5   19.1
GND ELNM4 East Lansing - Red Cedar R                       7.0   10.3
GND HHTM4 Holt - 2E - Sycamore Cr                          8.0    9.6
GND LNSM4 Lansing - No 2 - Grand R                        11.0   14.6
GND EAGM4 Eagle - 2NNE - Looking Glass R                   7.0    9.1
GND IONM4 Ionia - Grand R                                 21.0   24.0
GND LWLM4 Lowell - Grand R                                15.0   18.5
GND HSTM4 Hastings - 3SE - Thornapple R                    7.0    9.2
GND CLDM4 Caledonia - 2NE - Thornapple R                  10.0   12.1
GND ADAM4 Ada - Grand R                                   20.0   22.8
GND GDRM4 Grand Rapids - Grand R                          18.0   21.0
KBM VNDI2 Vandalia - WWTP & Kaskaskia R                   18.0   24.1
KDF MOMI2 Momence - Kankakee R                             5.0    7.3
KDF FSMI3 Foresman - Iroquois R (Brook 2E)                18.0   23.3
KDF WLMI2 Wilmington - 4NW - Kankakee R                    6.5    9.1
KDF RVRI2 Riverside - Des Plaines R                        7.5    8.1
KDF BOLI2 Bollingbrook - E Br Du Page R                   19.5   21.5
KDF SORI2 Shorewood - Du Page R                            6.5    8.2
KDF NMSW3 New Munster - 2N - Fox R                        11.0   13.6
KDF DAYI2 Dayton - Fox R                                  12.0   15.8
KSJ TRVM4 Three Rivers - WWTP & St Joseph R                7.0   10.8
KSJ CPEI3 Cosperville - N Br Elkhart R                     6.0    7.4
NLM STRM4 Sterling - 3N - Rifle R                          6.0   12.6
RCK MTNW3 Martintown - 2E & Pecatonica R                  13.5   18.6
RCK FEEI2 Freeport - WWTP - Pecatonica R                  13.0   15.6
RCK BROW3 Brodhead - WWTP & Sugar R                        5.0    9.4
RCK SIRI2 Shirland - Pecatonica R                         12.0   14.9
RCK ROKI2 Rockton - Rock R                                10.0   11.2
RCK LATI2 Latham Park - Rock R                            10.0   11.7
RCK BVDI2 Belvidere - WWTP - Kishwaukee R                  9.0   10.2
RCK BYRI2 Byron - Rock R                                  13.0   15.1
RCK JOSI2 Joslin - Rock R                                 12.0   16.2
SMS MCLM4 Mt Clemens - 2N - No Br Clinton R               15.0   17.1
SMW MIDM4 Midland - No 2 - Tittabawassee R                24.0   26.5
SMW OWOM4 Owosso - 2NW - WWTP / Shiawassee R               7.0    9.3
SMW DAVM4 Davison - 3W - Kearsley Cr                      10.0   11.3
SMW FRNM4 Frankenmuth - Cass R                            17.0   20.7
SMW SAGM4 Saginaw - No 3 - Saginaw R                      17.0   20.5
TIA DEWI4 De Witt - 4S - Wapsipinicon R                   11.0   12.3

Sites with forecasts above flood stage (FS):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
CAL THNI2 Thornton - Thorn Cr                             10.0   14.5
CIW LNTI4 Lone Tree - 5SW - Iowa R                        15.0   15.2
CIW WAPI4 Wapello - Iowa R                                20.0   20.1
EWS SEBW3 Sheboygan - Sheboygan R                          8.0    9.6
EWS FRKW3 Franklin - 2SE - Root R                          8.0    8.3
EWS RAYW3 Raymond - Root R Canal                           9.0    9.4
EWS CEDW3 Cedarburg - 3SE - Milwaukee R                   11.0   11.0
GND JACM4 Jackson - WWTP / Grand R                        14.0   14.7
GND ETNM4 Eaton Rapids - Grand R                           6.0    6.3
GND WMSM4 Williamston - 3E - Red Cedar R                   9.0    9.6
GND PORM4 Portland - WWTP & 1S - Grand R                  12.0   12.7
GND MRPM4 Maple Rapids - Maple R                           9.0   10.1
GND ROCM4 Rockford - 3SW - Rogue R                         8.0    8.9
GND WHTM4 Whitehall - 7NE - White R                        6.0    6.2
GND CROM4 Croton - Croton Dam - Muskegon R                 9.0   10.7
KBM PLMI2 Plumfield - Big Muddy R                         20.0   20.3
KBM MURI2 Murphysboro - 2SW-WWTP/Rte 127-Big Muddy R      22.0   23.6
KDF RUSI2 Russell - Des Plaines R                          7.0    7.9
KDF GUNI2 Gurnee - 3SW - Des Plaines R                     7.0    7.5
KDF LDRI2 Lincolnshire - Des Plaines R                    12.5   12.6
KDF DSPI2 Des Plaines - 2N - Des Plaines R                15.0   15.9
KDF WRNI2 Warrenville - W Br Du Page R                    11.5   12.6
KDF NDRI2 Plainfield - Du Page R                          12.0   13.2
KDF COLI2 Coal City - 4W - Mazon R                        12.0   12.9
KDF AFBI2 Algonquin - Fox R TW                             9.5    9.9
KDF MNGI2 Montgomery - Fox R                              13.0   13.6
KDF LNRI2 Leonore - 3NE - Vermilion R                     16.0   17.2
KSJ CMSM4 Comstock - Kalamazoo R                           9.0    9.8
KSJ RCMM4 New Richmond - Kalamazoo R                      17.0   17.3
KSJ BURM4 Burlington - 3E - St. Joseph R                   6.5    7.4
KSJ VCKM4 Vicksburg - 2E - Portage R                       5.0    6.6
M19 GLDI2 Gladstone - 4WNW - L&D 18 / Mississippi R       10.0   10.8
RCK AFTW3 Afton - 5SW - WWTP & Rock R                      9.0    9.4
RCK CLIW3 Clinton - WWTP-Turtle Cr                         8.0    8.7
RCK BOIW3 Beloit - 1SE - Hwy 51 - Turtle Cr                7.5   10.4
RCK DARW3 Darlington - WWTP - Pecatonica R                13.5   14.8
RCK ALBW3 Albany - Sugar R                                12.0   12.8
RCK PRYI2 Perryville - 2SW - Kishwaukee R                 12.0   15.3
RCK DXRI2 Dixon - Rock River                              16.0   16.8
RCK CMOI2 Como - Rock R                                   12.5   14.5
SMS FSRM4 Sterling Heights - 1E (Frasier 3N)-Clinton R    16.0   16.4
SMS DETM4 Detroit - Rvr Rouge                             15.0   17.0
SMS INKM4 Inkster - Lwr Rvr Rouge                         10.0   11.3
SMS HMGM4 Hamburg - 1N - Huron R                           6.5    6.7
SMS BLIM4 Blissfield - 1SW - River Raisin                683.0  683.6
SMS DNDM4 Dundee - WWTP - Rvr Raisin                     650.0  650.3
SMS MONM4 Monroe - WTP - Rvr Raisin                        9.0    9.7
SMW BVTM4 Beaverton - 1ESE - Tobacco R                    12.0   12.7
SMW MPTM4 Mount Pleasant - 3NE - Chippewa R                8.0    8.8
SMW ALMM4 Alma - Pine R                                    8.0    8.8
SMW FRGM4 Fergus - 1E - Shiawassee R                      10.0   13.9
SMW FLTM4 Flint - 7W - WWTP / Flint R                     13.0   14.9
SMW VSSM4 Vassar - WWTP - Cass R                          14.0   14.1
SSL LNMI2 London Mills - 1WSW - Spoon R                   15.0   16.7
SSL MNTI2 Monticello - Sangamon R                         13.0   16.8
TIA MAQI4 Maquoketa - 2NE - Maquoketa R                   24.0   24.6
TMO TRYM7 Troy - Cuivre R                                 21.0   21.3

Sites with forecasts below flood stage but above a
user-defined threshold (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
CAL HDDI3 Dyer - Hart Ditch                               12.0   11.5
CIW CNEI4 Conesville - 4NE - Cedar R                      13.0   12.7
CIW MROI4 Marengo - Iowa R                                14.0   13.6
CIW CJTI4 Columbus Junction - Iowa R                      19.0   18.2
CIW OKVI4 Oakville - Iowa R                               10.0    9.8
EWS RACW3 Racine - Root R                                  7.0    6.0
EWS CDRW3 Cedarburg - Cedar Cr                            10.0    9.7
GND DMDM4 Dimondale - 1WSW & Grand R                      13.0   11.5
GND GDLM4 Grand Ledge - 1NW & Hwy 100 - Grand R           11.0   10.5
GND SMYM4 Smyrna - Flat R                                  8.5    7.4
GND SCTM4 Scottville - Pere Marquette R                    5.5    5.1
GND EVRM4 Evart - Muskegon R                              12.0   10.8
GND MORM4 Morley - 5E - Little Muskegon R                  6.0    5.7
KDF NBAI2 Chicago - N Br Chicago River                     7.0    5.8
KDF RVFI2 River Forest - Des Plaines River                16.0   14.1
KDF BRGW3 Burlington - Fox R                              11.0   10.9
KDF PNTI2 Pontiac - Vermilion R                           14.0   13.5
KSJ MARM4 Marshall - Kalamazoo R                           8.0    7.1
KSJ BCRM4 Battle Creek - No 3 - Battle Cr                  4.0    3.6
KSJ BTCM4 Battle Creek - No 2 - Kalamazoo R                9.0    7.1
M10 GRBI4 Garber - Turkey R                               17.0   14.6
M19 NBOI2 New Boston - 4NW - L&D 17 / Mississippi R       15.0   14.7
M19 KHBI2 Keithsburg - Mississippi R                      14.0   13.6
M19 BRLI4 Burlington - Mississippi R                      15.0   14.8
MIS CANM7 Canton - L&D 20 - Mississippi R                 14.0   12.7
MIS UINI2 Quincy - Memorial Br. - Mississippi R           17.0   16.2
MIS HNNM7 Hannibal - WTP - Mississippi R                  16.0   14.9
MIS LUSM7 Louisiana - WTP-(Pool 24 CP)-Mississippi R      15.0   13.7
MIS CLKM7 Clarksville - L&D 24 - Mississippi R            25.0   23.5
MIS GRFI2 Grafton - (Pool 26 CP) Mississippi R            18.0   17.3
NLM SHRM4 Sherman - 1N - Manistee R                       15.0   14.8
RCK WATW3 Watertown - WWTP - Rock R                        5.5    4.8
RCK MILW3 Milford - Crawfish R                             7.0    5.1
RCK JFFW3 Jefferson - Rock R                              10.0    8.0
RCK FATW3 Fort Atkinson - WWTP & Rock R                   16.0   14.7
SMS MTCM4 Mt Clemens - 1W - Clinton R                     16.0   15.0
SMS DEXM4 Dexter - 2S - Mill Cr                           12.0   11.6
SMS ANNM4 Ann Arbor - Huron R                             16.0   15.1
SMS TECM4 Tecumseh - WWTP & 4S - Rvr Raisin               13.0   11.3
SMS ADRM4 Adrian - 2E - Rvr Raisin                        18.0   14.0
SMW CSSM4 Cass City - 1SSW - WWTP/Cass R                  14.0   13.4
SSL SEVI2 Seville - (Marietta 3ESE) - Spoon R             22.0   21.8
SSL RVTI2 Riverton - 4NNE & Sangamon R                    23.0   19.3
SSL CLMI2 Colmar - 1SSW - La Moine R                      20.0   19.9
SSL RIPI2 Ripley - La Moine R                             22.0   19.5
TMO TAYM7 Taylor - 5SW - S Fabius R                        9.5    8.3
WIS PORW3 Portage - 1SE - WWTP / Wisconsin R              17.0   13.5
WIS RSPW3 Rock Springs - Baraboo R                        18.5   15.0
WIS VIOW3 Viola - Kickapoo R                              14.0   12.7
WIS REAW3 Readstown - Kickapoo R                          11.0    8.7
WIS GMIW3 Gays Mills - WWTP - Kickapoo R                  13.0   12.3
WIS STEW3 Steuben - 3NE - Kickapoo R                      12.0   11.1

=====================================================================

...Past Precipitation...
Observation times are in UTC.
Subtract 6 hrs for CST, 5 hrs for CDT/EST, 4 hrs for EDT.
=====================================================================

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Iowa:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
EOKI4    DH1200/PPDRZ  1.02 : Keokuk L&D 19                       IA
IAST37   DH1230/PPDRZ  0.75 : Davenport 1WNW                      IA
MCTI4    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.72 : Muscatine WWTP                      IA
DWTI4    DH1400/PPDRZ  0.71 : De Witt                             IA
EOKI4    DH1200/PPDRG  0.71 : Keokuk L&D 19                       IA

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Illinois:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
CMII2    DH1200/PPDRG  3.51 : Champaign (Copper Slough)           IL
WORI2    DH1200/PPDRG  3.46 : Lovington 2NW                       IL
ILPT03   DH1400/PPDRZ  3.46 : Atwood 5NW                          IL
BNDI2    DH1200/PPDRG  3.44 : Bondville (CRN)                     IL
VDYI2    DH1200/PPDRG  3.42 : Venedy Station 1NW                  IL

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Indiana:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
INLP54   DH1030/PPDRZ  3.50 : (KC9YKU)New Carlisle 7WNW           IN
INJS47   DH1400/PPDRZ  3.24 : Remington                           IN
INJS01   DH1300/PPDRZ  3.19 : Wheatfield 3S                       IN
INNW03   DH1230/PPDRZ  3.17 : Kentland                            IN
INJS07   DH1200/PPDRZ  3.14 : Rensselaer 2SSW                     IN

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Michigan:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
MIAN08   DH1100/PPDRZ  3.05 : Dorr 1WNW                           MI
MICS05   DH1100/PPDRZ  2.80 : Niles 4E                            MI
MISJ04   DH1130/PPDRZ  2.75 : Constantine 2E                      MI
MIET07   DH1200/PPDRZ  2.74 : Eaton Rapids 2W                     MI
MICNT    DH1200/PPDRP  2.56 : Constantine 1SSE                    MI

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Minnesota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
KABM5    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.23 : Kabetogama - Visitor Ctr            MN
WLFM5    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.20 : Wolf Ridge Elc                      MN
OTTM5    DH1210/PPDRZ  0.15 : Ottertail                           MN
MNCK07   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.13 : Hovland                             MN
SEAM5    DH1200/PPDRG  0.12 : Grand Marais 33NW (Seagull RAWS)    MN

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Missouri:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
PTSM7    DH1100/PPDRZ  3.24 : Potosi 4SW                          MO
BXBM7    DH1200/PPDRG  3.09 : Bixby                               MO
HSPM7    DH1330/PPDRZ  2.95 : Coffman 4SSE                        MO
DSOM7    DH1400/PPDRZ  2.90 : De Soto                             MO
WGNM7    DH1200/PPDRG  2.72 : Weingarten                          MO

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from North Dakota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
HVNN8    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.06 : Havana                              ND
GFK      DH1153/PPDRZ  0.05 : Grand Forks 4W - Intl Aprt          ND
LNGN8    DH1400/PPDRZ  0.05 : Langdon Exp Farm                    ND
GRFN8    DH1204/PPDRZ  0.05 : Grand Forks - Nws / U Of North Dako ND
PBAN8    DH1353/PPDRZ  0.05 : Pembina WTP                         ND

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from South Dakota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
SDRB04   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.04 : Sisseton 10ENE                      SD
SDRB14   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.03 : Sisseton                            SD
8D3      DH1156/PPDRZ  0.02 : Sisseton Muni Arpt                  SD
SIWS2    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.01 : Sisseton 4W                         SD
SDRB01   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.01 : Sisseton 4W                         SD

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Wisconsin:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
JKNW3    DH1300/PPDRZ  1.35 : Jackson 2NE                         WI
AFTW3    DH1300/PPDRZ  1.04 : Afton - WWTP                        WI
WIRK16   DH1400/PPDRZ  0.97 : Janesville 3ENE                     WI
WIJF05   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.95 : Whitewater 1NW                      WI
WIWW12   DH1130/PPDRZ  0.93 : Elkhorn                             WI

=====================================================================

See http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_QCPCPN for all reports.


For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts, precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility, please refer to the NCRFC
web page at:     http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc


$$






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