Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 281436
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
935 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...PRECIPITATION...

OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS... THE SOUPY MESS THAT IS THE ATMOSPHERE
OVER THE MIDWEST HAS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING MUCH OF
THE NCRFC AREA.  MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA HEARD
THUNDER IN THE PAST 24 HOURS... AND RAINFALL REPORTS OF ONE TO
THREE INCHES WERE OBSERVED IN ISOLATED AREAS.

THE LONG SQUALL LINE IS MOVING EAST THIS MORNING... DEPOSITING
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MINNESOTA.. IOWA... INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN
AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS.  THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON IS POSSIBLE AGAIN IN IOWA AND MISSOURI.  FORECAST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS CENTER IN AROUND THE
QUAD CITIES... WITH OVER AN INCH AND A HALF EXPECTED... AND MUCH
OF EASTERN IOWA SHOULD SEE AT LEAST AND INCH OF RAINFALL.  THERE
IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE REDEVELOPMENT
LATER TODAY.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER.
THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA HAS BEEN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SINCE
JUNE 16TH.

THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CHESTER... ILLINOIS... IS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE AND SLOWLY FALLING.  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CHESTER HAS
BEEN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SINCE JUNE 8TH.

IN NORTHERN INDIANA... THE NORTH BRANCH OF THE ELKHART RIVER AT
COSPERVILLE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY RECEDE AND SHOULD FALL BELOW
MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

RECENT RAINFALL HAS CAUSED RIVERS TO RISE RAPIDLY IN EASTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA.  THIS AREA HAS RECEIVED PLENTIFUL
RAINFALL OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF MONTHS... AND SOILS ARE SATURATED.
LESS THAN AN INCH OF RAINFALL IS PUSHING SOME TRIBUTARIES BACK
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: SAS ALH MMZ

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...MMZ/ALH...





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