Hydrometeorological Discussion
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AGUS71 KTIR 031616
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1216 PM EDT Friday, July 3, 2015

Several waves of low pressure will slide across the southern Ohio Valley
today through the holiday weekend. As a result, unsettled weather is
forecast primarily for areas along and south of the Ohio River. Some storms
could produce heavy rainfall totals of 3" to 5". Meanwhile, high pressure
centered over the Great Lakes will keep much of the northern basin dry.

Conditions will be drier from late Sunday through Monday.

A cold front is expected to sweep across the region next Tuesday bringing
more widespread precipitation. Another front may push through at least the
northern Ohio Valley late next week.

Minor to moderate flooding continues across the western and northwestern
Ohio Valley as well as a couple of isolated points in western Kentucky.
Rivers here will be slow to recede and should linger above flood stage
for several more days.

With thunderstorm activity sagging mainly into the southern basin, the risk
of new river flooding will shift southward as well.  However, the main
threat will likely be urban/flash flooding.

Rains fell across an area along and south of the Ohio River. Some basin average
amounts in middle Tennessee and portions of Kentucky reached the 1.50 to 3.00
inch range.

Rain is forecast across all but the far northwest, however significant rains
will be confined to middle Tennessee and southern Kentucky where basin averages
will range from 0.75 to 1.50 inches.

Points along the following river basins were in flood Friday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
White River      Elliston              18         23.0    Falling
White River      Newberry              13         17.1    Falling
White River      Edwardsport           15         20.0    Steady
White River      Petersburg            16         20.4    Steady
Wabash River     Wabash                14         16.3    Steady
Wabash River     West Lafayette        11         16.5    Falling
Wabash River     Covington             16         22.8    Falling
Wabash River     Montezuma             14         24.5    Falling
Wabash River     Terre Haute           14         22.2    Falling
Wabash River     Riverton              15         23.4    Steady
Embarras River   Lawrenceville         30         33.0    Steady
Wabash River     Vincennes             16         22.2    Steady
Patoka River     Princeton             18         18.6    Falling
Wabash River     Mount Carmel          19         25.1    Steady
Wabash River     New Harmony           15         18.6    Steady
Little Wabash    Clay City             18         20.0    Steady
Little Wabash    Carmi                 27         33.3    Falling
St. Mary`s River Newville              12         13.5    Falling
Tiffin River     Stryker               11         13.7    Falling

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
Link Crawford

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