Public Information Statement
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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NOUS44 KLZK 042003

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
200 PM CST Sun Dec 4 2016

...Winter Weather Awareness Week in Arkansas...

December 4th through the 9th is Winter Weather Awareness Week
in Arkansas. The purpose of this week is to remind people
what winter weather can bring, and how to deal with
hazardous winter conditions. Now is the time to prepare
for the upcoming winter season.

During each weekday, a different winter weather topic will be
covered in a Public Information Statement...

    Monday...The Outlook for the Coming Winter
    Tuesday...Winter Precipitation Types
    Wednesday...Winter Weather Watches, Warnings, and Advisories
    Thursday...Winter Weather Safety Rules
    Friday...The Cold of Winter

Climatological winter runs from December through February.
Following two winters /2013-2014 and 2014-2015/ with colder
and drier than average conditions locally, last winter was
very mild and precipitation was a little above average.


2013/2014     38.0      -3.3         10.40         -1.72
2014/2015     39.5      -1.8          9.68         -2.44
2015/2016     45.4      +4.1         13.00         +0.88

The odds favored warm/wet conditions last winter based on
past trends. Data shows that Arkansas experienced three cold
winters in a row only twice since 1895, and three consecutive
dry winters only three times. In this case, cold is defined as
at least 1.5 degrees below average and dry is at least 1.5 inches
below average.

We are currently transitioning from a very strong El Nino to
a possible weak La Nina. This means water temperatures near the
equator in the Pacific Ocean have cooled significantly in recent
months. Since 1950, several such transitions have occurred. In
four of five transitions, winter temperatures were at or below
average across the state, and precipitation was at or above
average three of five times.

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