Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 312341
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
641 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 333 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2016

The main concern in the short term is timing the eventual clearing
of all showers and thunderstorms and patchy fog towards morning.

Scattered showers with isolated thunder will continue to be
possible through the afternoon hours, think the chances will
decrease by evening as the upper disturbance moves southward
bringing drier air to the area. Skies are scattering out this
afternoon, which could help some showers develop, but again think
an overall decreasing trend will continue to be seen throughout
the afternoon and early evening.

With the drier air, skies will clear through the evening. With mostly
clear skies tonight, temperatures will radiate out. The
combination of temperatures dropping and sufficient low level
moisture will cause some patchy fog to be possible towards the
morning hours generally along and north of a Phillipsburg, KS to
Geneva, NE line.

Thursday will be dry and sunny. Winds will be light and
southeasterly with highs near 80.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 333 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2016

Upper level ridging decreases as a strong trough over the west
deepens. Southwesterly flow aloft returns and persists through the
remainder of the forecast period.

The first and second waves eject northeastward across the area is
on Friday night/Saturday and this will bring or next chance for
showers and thunderstorms. There will be a couple of waves of
precip with this. The first early Saturday and then the second
later Saturday afternoon/evening and overnight. The second is more
potent and will bring the better chance for precipitation. A front
will kick southeast Sunday and move across the area stalling out
through most of the remainder of the forecast. With the front in
the area and upper waves moving northeast across the plains, there
will be off and on chances for precipitation Sunday through
Wednesday. Flooding could become a concern through this period
with multiple chance for precipitation and some areas with already
saturated soils.

Highs will generally be near to slightly below normal through
Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2016

VFR conditions are expected through the evening hours with
generally light east northeasterly winds and only some passing
high clouds. With mainly clear skies and light winds expected
overnight...there could be a bit of patchy radiational fog by
early Thursday morning...but with dewpoints already below forecast
values...think this will be patchy at best and improved vsbys to 5
SM from previous TAF. Otherwise...expect mainly cloud free skies
during the day tomorrow with light southeasterly winds as surface
high pressure builds into the upper mississippi river valley.

&&

.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Billings Wright
LONG TERM...Billings Wright
AVIATION...Rossi


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