033
FNUS73 KABR 091134
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Pelican Lake RX...SDGFP
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
634 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Northeasterly winds can be expected this morning, turning
northerly late this afternoon into this evening with sustained
winds between 5 to 10 mph this morning and 10 to 15 mph this
afternoon. Minimum relative humidity values will be around 45%
this afternoon. Winds will become breezy out of the northwest
Friday, with gusts increasing to 25 to 30 mph towards the
afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500-6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (90300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  27  23  23  25  33  36  46  42  49  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  48  52  56  59  61  63  64  65  65  65
RH..............86  80  74  69  62  58  54  52  46  46  45
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.13  15  16  15  14  15  17  15  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.2 1.3 2.1 4.1 5.5 5.7 6.0 5.8 4.9
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 10 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 7 mph
                    late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400-5000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph shifting to the west 9 to 12
                    mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (65200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  48  39  34  24  28  33  39  32  23  14  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  62  59  56  54  52  50  50  49  48  47  47
RH..............48  50  57  62  66  71  74  74  77  80  79  79
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   VRB VRB W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  8   6   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  13  9   7   6   7   8   9   8   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 4.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Smoke Dispersal.GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 15 mph increasing to 17 to
                    21 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......400-8500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph increasing to 24 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (65700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (144800
                    knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
                    excellent (212500 knot-ft) in the afternoon
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  33  21  15  4   7   19  30  33  30  26  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  48  53  57  62  64  65  66  67  67  69  68
RH..............83  83  74  64  56  48  41  37  33  34  31  32
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   8   12  13  15  17  20  21  21  21  21  20
20 FT wind gust.10  13  16  20  22  24  26  28  29  28  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.5 3.1 5.8 7.1 7.8 7.8 8.3 8.5 7.4
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  GD  VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

$$
Forecaster...MMM
Requested by...Heath Stone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413579.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL heath.stone@state.sd.us