Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
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806 FNUS73 KDLH 111029 FWSDLH Spot Forecast for Crex Unit 64...WI DNR National Weather Service Duluth MN 529 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 11. If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653. .DISCUSSION... RH will reach a minimum in the mid to upper 20 percents this afternoon ahead of a system that will bring scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms to the burn site overnight. Winds will be relatively light compared to yesterday, with winds 5-15 mph. Winds may be a little variable, but should primarily be out of the northwest this morning and then shift to the southwest this evening. There will be a break from precipitation Sunday morning before thunderstorms develop again in the afternoon over NW Wisconsin. However, the best chance for showers and storms will be further to the east and the western extent is uncertain at this time. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the west around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph shifting to the west around 13 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4900-14600 knot-ft) increasing to good to excellent (56200-71400 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............47 52 57 61 65 66 68 69 69 70 RH..............71 63 53 44 35 33 31 30 30 30 20 FT wind dir..NW N N NW NW NW NW W W W 20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT wind gust.9 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.6 3.8 5.3 5.9 6.6 7.1 6.2 6.2 6.2 Transp wind dir.NW N N N N NW NW W W W Transp wind spd.9 10 14 15 13 12 12 10 10 13 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/10005 15 46 69 65 66 71 56 56 68 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2. Min temperature.....Around 51. Max humidity........71 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 13 mph shifting to the south. Smoke dispersal.....Good (59500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft). Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 Temp............69 65 58 56 54 53 RH..............32 40 51 55 61 66 20 ft wind......SW 7 S 6 S 7 S 8 S 8 S 7 20 ft wind gust.11 12 14 14 13 13 Mix hgt (ft)....5400 500 500 500 500 400 Transport wind..W 13 S 9 S 14 S 14 S 13 S 12 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/100060 4 6 6 5 5 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........29 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 9 to 10 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest around 16 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4800-23200 knot-ft) increasing to excellent (61700-97400 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky cover.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 Temp............53 58 68 74 78 78 RH..............71 64 51 41 33 30 20 ft wind......S 7 SW 8 W 9 W 9 NW 10 NW 10 20 ft wind gust.12 13 14 14 14 15 Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 1800 3700 5800 6300 Transport wind..S 12 SW 13 W 15 NW 14 NW 16 NW 17 Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/10005 8 23 45 81 95 $$ Forecaster...Krystal Requested by...Renae Essenmacher Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413729.0/DLH .DELDT 05/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL renae.essenmacher@wisconsin.gov