Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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343 FXUS64 KSHV 101726 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1226 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1053 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 As of 10:45 AM this morning, temperatures are approaching the upper 70s with mostly sunny skies. Quiet and seasonable conditions are expected through the rest of the day with temperature maximums only reaching the low-to-mid 80s under mostly sunny skies. With weather and observed trends continuing as anticipated, forecast grid adjustments were not necessary at this time. /16/ && .SHORT TERM... (Friday through Saturday) Issued at 218 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 For the first time in what feels like a long time, I present to you a shorter discussion containing no weather. Now that this insanely stubborn front has finally moved out of the region, weak upper-level ridging will move overhead into the weekend. This will allow for somewhat drier air to filter into the region, keeping the clouds and rain at bay. Temperatures will also run seasonal for this time of the year, with highs ranging in the low to mid-80s, and lows ranging in the mid-50s to low-60s. /44/ && .LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through Friday) Issued at 218 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Unfortunately, our quiet pattern quickly comes to an end on Sunday. This will be the first day of a rather active long-term, with multiple days of heavy thunderstorm activity anticipated into next weekend. This wet pattern will be associated with multiple shortwave troughs moving through the central Plains, with only a day or two break in-between. The heavy rain will likely be the talking point over the next week, but severe weather is not out of the question as well. However, there are still a lot of uncertainties regarding airmass recovery each day given ongoing rain, currently limiting severe potential. Pivoting back to the heavy rainfall, current QPF values are widespread 3-6 inches of rainfall into next weekend, with locally heavier amounts certainly possible. /44/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024 For the 10/18Z TAFs, VFR conditions will prevail at area terminals throughout, primarily in the form of scattered to broken high clouds, though some lower VFR cigs are possible with the development of a small Cu field this afternoon. Northeast winds will continue at 10 to 15 kts sustained with a few gusts in breezier areas, before becoming lighter and variable overnight. /26/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 62 83 65 78 / 0 0 10 40 MLU 60 82 64 80 / 0 0 0 20 DEQ 55 82 59 77 / 0 0 10 20 TXK 59 83 63 79 / 0 0 10 20 ELD 55 82 61 79 / 0 0 0 20 TYR 61 79 64 75 / 0 0 20 50 GGG 62 80 63 75 / 0 0 20 50 LFK 64 82 64 77 / 0 0 20 60 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...26