Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 232100
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
400 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Saturday Night)...

Excessive Heat Warning for Kleberg County still in effect through
the remainder of the afternoon hours. Heat index values climbed as
high as 120 degrees! Yes, that hot. Elsewhere, heat index values
remain closer to 110 degrees with temperatures in the triple digits
out west and the mid-90s most other places. Best place to be is at
the beach but with the high risk of dangerous rip currents it`s not
advised to get into the water so you should only look at the water
which may make you feel refreshed...

Overnight will remain quite muggy and just plain gross. Moisture
will continue to be plentiful with no relief in sight. Coastal
troughing/convergence will be better with a bit less of a capping
inversion as the mid-level ridging and heat core move towards the
west. Isolated to scattered showers look to develop, streamers, and
then move inland during the mid/late morning hours. Sea breeze will
also help to generate more scattered convection tomorrow afternoon
and spread inland. Storms should be slow to move with weaker low-
level flow and not expecting a lot of organization given some CIN
still around with less than stellar shear. Brief heavy rain may
occur with these storms being the main threat, outside of lightning
strikes. Temperatures won`t be as terrible with more cloud cover,
scattered storms, and more moisture across the region. Heat index
values will only be a paltry 105 to 110 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM (Sunday through Thursday)...

Extended period begins with South Texas in an area between two upper
ridges aloft, with a weak front at the surface drifting into central
Texas. With copious moisture around (PWATs at or above 1.8 to 2.0
inches) and a focusing mechanism, scattered to occasionally numerous
showers and thunderstorms are expected periodically Sunday through
Tuesday. After that the boundary washes out but moisture remains,
especially along the coast and offshore. Will gradually taper off
rain chances near the coast, and more abruptly inland.

Clouds and potential rainfall should ease us back a bit from the
blistering heat of the past week, with highs merely in the 80s and
90s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    80  92  78  91  75  /  10  30  30  50  40
Victoria          78  94  76  92  74  /  10  50  30  60  30
Laredo            80  98  77  96  76  /  10  20  20  40  20
Alice             78  96  76  94  74  /  10  40  30  50  30
Rockport          82  92  80  91  78  /  20  30  40  60  50
Cotulla           79  98  76  96  75  /  10  30  20  30  20
Kingsville        79  95  76  93  75  /  10  30  30  50  30
Navy Corpus       82  93  81  91  79  /  20  30  40  60  50

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening For the following
     zones: Aransas...Bee...Calhoun...Duval...Goliad...Jim
     Wells...La Salle...Live Oak...McMullen...Nueces...Refugio...
     San Patricio...Victoria...Webb.

     High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM CDT this evening For the
     following zones: Aransas...Calhoun...Kleberg...Nueces.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening For the
     following zones: Kleberg.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon For the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port
     Aransas out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas
     from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda
     Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening For the
     following zones: Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port
     Aransas.

&&

$$

GH/77...SHORT TERM
JV/71...LONG TERM



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