Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 012016
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
316 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...ANOTHER ROUND OF
CONVECTION EARLIER TODAY HAS EXITED THE CWA TO THE N WITH A FEW
VERY WEAK ECHOES LINGERING ACROSS THE N AND W CWA. TONIGHT SHOULD
BE QUIET WITH ISOLD CONVECTION REDVLPG ALONG THE COAST TOWARD THU
MORNING THEN SPREADING INLAND WITH THE SEA BREEZE. COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LESS ON THURSDAY COMPARED TO TODAY DUE TO
SLIGHTLY LOWER PWATS AND AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
BUILDING ACROSS S TX FROM THE N. THE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP
PRECIP OUT OF THE NE CWA...BUT BY AFTERNOON THE CAPE AND
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR ISOL
CONVECTION TO SHIFT TOWARD THE COT AND LRD AREAS. MODELS BRING
DRIER AIR INTO S TX THU NIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NO PRECIP EXPECTED.
THU HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY DUE TO THE
HIGH PRESSURE/DRIER AIR. ONSHORE WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOD TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT. ONSHORE WINDS
ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND ARE EXPECTED TO BE BREEZY DURING THU
AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...MORE SUBSIDENT PATTERN
PREVAILS OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY WITH LOWER MOISTURE...AND THUS
DRY FORECAST CONTINUES FOR FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW END CHANCES
FOR SHRA AND TSTMS RETURN OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AS MOISTURE
INCREASES AGAIN SOMEWHAT OVER THE AREA AND SUBSIDENT PATTERN WEAKENS
OVER SOUTH TEXAS. UPPER RIDGE THEN BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA DURING
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND PWAT VALUES DROP FROM THE ~1.7-1.8
INCHES THEY WERE TO 1.1-1.3 INCHES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
FAIRLY SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE...LIGHT TO
MODERATE OVER LAND...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO POSSIBLE SCEC LEVELS
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    76  91  77  93  78  /  10  20  10  10  20
VICTORIA          73  92  76  91  76  /  10  10  10  10  20
LAREDO            75  96  76  99  75  /  10  20  10  10  10
ALICE             74  94  75  95  76  /  10  20  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          80  91  80  90  80  /  20  10  10  10  20
COTULLA           73  94  74  97  75  /  10  20  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        74  93  77  95  78  /  10  20  10  10  20
NAVY CORPUS       78  91  80  90  80  /  20  20  10  10  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TE/81...SHORT TERM
LK/84...LONG TERM


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