Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KCRP 040517 AAB
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1217 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...THINK THERE WILL BE FOG OVER KALI AND KVCT AGAIN THIS
MORNING...BUT NOT AS DENSE AS YESTERDAY MORNING AS WINDS IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE A BIT STRONGER. THUS...AM GOING MVFR BR AT
BOTH LOCATIONS WITH TEMPO IFR...GENERALLY SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MOST OF THE CONVECTION PRESENT YESTERDAY WAS
IN THE GULFMEX AND OVER THE NORTHEAST...SHOULD BE LESS TODAY BUT
AM GOING TO GO WITH VCSH AT KCRP AFTER 14Z AND A PROB30 AT KVCT
FOR THUNDER AFTER 16Z WHERE CONVECTION MORE LIKELY (WILL LIKELY GO
WITH TEMPO FOR THE 12Z ISSUANCE SINCE CANNOT GO WITH PROB30 BEFORE
THE FIRST NINE HOURS OF THE FORECAST). OTHER LOCATIONS WILL
LIKELY NOT SEE CONVECTION (TOO ISOLATED) AND THUS NONE MENTIONED.
VFR AFTER 15Z ALL TERMINALS...MAYBE A TEMPO MVFR AT KCRP AROUND
14Z WITH THE VCSH. MODERATE SOUTH WINDS WITH TYPICAL AFTERNOON
SEA-BREEZE WINDS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...DIMINISHING TYPICALLY IN
THE EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 805 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED HOURLY TEMPS AS EARLIER CONVECTION HAS
COOLED OFF PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAINS FASTER THAN EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...WITH THE OVERALL TREND FOLLOWING CLOSELY TO THE ORIGINAL
AFTERNOON PACKAGE...DID NOT LOWER OVERNIGHT TEMPS. CONCERN WITH
LOWER TEMPS WOULD LIE WITH ANY PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING AROUND AREAS
WHERE RAIN FELL LEADING TO ISOLATED LOCATIONS DROPPING
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 70S. OTHERWISE...A NIGHT IN THE MID 70S
IS EXPECTED FOR MOST LOCATIONS...WITH UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80
DEGREES ALONG THE COAST AND RIO GRANDE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 629 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...VFR THIS EVENING WITH BRIEF MVFR FOR MAINLY
VISIBILITIES FROM ALI-VCT. FURTHER WIND DECOUPLING COULD LEAD TO
VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO IFR FOR THE SAME AREA. OTHERWISE...VFR IS
EXPECTED BY 14Z WITH WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY FOR ALI-CRP WHERE GUSTS MAY REACH 20-25KTS. LINGERING
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED
CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON FOR CRP-ALI-VCT...HOWEVER DUE TO THE
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT IN NATURE...WILL LEAVE OUT OF TAFS AT THIS
TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...DEEP
MOISTURE...REPRESENTED BY SEASONABLY HIGH PWAT READINGS...WILL
REMAIN OVER THE COASTAL BEND THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...RESULTING IN
CONTINUED HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ACTIVITY WILL HAVE VERY LIMITED COVERAGE...MAINLY
CONFINED TO SEABREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONES. ELSEWHERE EXPECT A
CONTINUATION OF OUR HOT SUMMER PATTERN WITH HEAT INDICES TUESDAY
ONCE AGAIN IN THE 105 TO 109 RANGE IN MANY AREAS.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...LINGERING MOISTURE
OVER THE NW GULF WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHC POPS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST ON WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST AS MID/UPR RIDGE MEANDERS OVER THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN PERSISTENTLY HOT WITH A VERY
GRADUAL WARMING TREND BY A DEGREE OR TWO BY THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN HEAT INDICIES IN 105 TO 109 RANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. NO
OTHER WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  95  79  95  79  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          77  97  77  97  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
LAREDO            80 104  79 104  79  /  10  10  10   0   0
ALICE             77 100  78 100  77  /  10  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          82  92  82  92  82  /  10  20  10  10  10
COTULLA           78 103  78 104  77  /  10  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        79  97  79  98  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       82  91  82  90  81  /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GW/86...AVIATION


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.