Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLCH 231824
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
124 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR 18Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOCAL 88DS SHOW A FEW SHOWERS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE...THUS ADDED A VCSH MENTION AT KBPT TO ACCOUNT AND MAY NEED
TO AMEND KLCH LATER IF THE BOUNDARY CAN PROGRESS FARTHER INLAND.
OTHERWISE JUST A DECENT CU FIELD WITH RIDGING ALOFT SQUASHING ANY
POTENTIAL CONVECTION. LIGHT WINDS AT THE SFC WILL ALSO PERSIST
WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WRN GULF REGION.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1036 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014/

UPDATE...DEW POINTS WERE RUNNING HIGHER THAN PROGGED SO ADDED IN
RUC DEW POINTS TODAY. TEMPS LOOKING ON TARGET. MIXING OUT IN A FEW
HOURS SHOULD BRING THE DEW POINTS DOWN, TRIGGER SOME AFTERNOON TSTMS
MAINLY FROM LAKE CHARLES EASTWARD ALONG A WEAK SEABREEZE. APPARENT
TEMPS STILL LOOK TO BE BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS, TOPPING OUT
AROUND 104.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 630 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN A DRY WEATHER
PATTERN THROUGH THIS TAF PACKAGE. WITH A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT
IN PLACE...LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN VERY LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT
VARIABLE. OTHERWISE...VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH NOTHING MORE THAN SOME
FAIR WEATHER CU DEVELOPING AS TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 430 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE RADAR IS QUIET THIS MORNING WITH TEMPS AROUND THE REGION
HOVERING IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S... HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT HAS
DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF STATES. LOOKING NORTHWARD...
STORMS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE UPPER PLAIN STATES MOVING INTO IOWA
ATTM. TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM NEAR 60 ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
TO THE LOWER 80S AT KEY WEST. A VERY QUIET WEATHER TO START OUT
THE WEEKEND.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR HISPANIOLA... THERE IS AN 80
PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS LOOKS TO
MOVE UP TOWARDS THE BAHAMAS AND THEN UP THE EAST COAST.

FOR US THIS WEEKEND LOOKING AT HOT AND DRY WITH THE HEAT INDEX
FROM 101 TO 106 TODAY STARTING AROUND THE NOON HOUR AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THOSE OUTSIDE SHOULD BE
DRINKING PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND TAKING FREQUENT BREAKS. THE OVER
ALL PATTERN DOMINATED BY THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK BREAKING ON TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE LIFTS TO THE NE. THIS WILL
ALLOW SHRTWVS TO ROTATE UNDER THE RIDGE AND ACROSS THIS REGION...
WITH STORMS RETURNING TO THE FORECAST. BY LATE FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK
MAY SEE ANOTHER FRONT DROPPING DOWN INTO THE NORTHWEST GULF.

19

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  94  76  94  77  96 /  20  10  10  10  30
KBPT  94  76  96  76  97 /  10  10  10  10  20
KAEX  95  74  96  75  96 /  10  10  10  10  30
KLFT  93  76  94  77  94 /  20  10  20  10  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

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&&

$$






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