Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 221724
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1224 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.AVIATION...Showers and occasional storms will continue to move
across the terminals through the period as Cindy departs the
region. Lower ceilings can be expected along with occasional lower
vis. Winds will be SW to South.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1123 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017/

UPDATE...
Tropical Depression Cindy over west central Louisiana this morning
continues to move to the north and away from the area. Bands of
rains continue to sweep around the system and this will continue
into the afternoon hours. Conditions will improve through the
afternoon into the evening hours and Cindy moves into northern
Louisiana. All Tropical Storm Warnings have been dropped but a
Wind Advisory remains for southeast Texas and southern Louisiana
along with a Flash Flood Watch... a Tornado Watch until 1 pm for
south central Louisiana... Coastal Flood Warning... and a Small
Craft Advisory.

All products have been updated.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 637 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...
For the 22/12Z TAF issuance.

AVIATION...
The center of Tropical Storm Cindy is moving through Southwest
Louisiana and will continue to move just east of the Sabine River
through the day. Rain bands around the system will affect the
terminals, with gusty winds and occasional moderate to heavy
rainfall. MVFR to IFR conditions will occur through the day.
Improvement is noted after 23/00Z with conditions up to VFR
possible.

Rua

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 525 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Per the latest update from the National Hurricane Center, Tropical
Storm Cindy made landfall between Cameron and Port Arthur during
the early morning hours this morning. Cindy is currently moving to
the north and a turn toward the northeast is expected throughout
the day today.

The primary threat for our region today will continue to be the
potential for heavy rainfall associated with the tropical
rainbands to produce flash flooding. Three to five inches of
rainfall with localized higher amounts will be possible with the
stronger rainbands.

Tropical storm force wind gusts will be the secondary hazard for
the region today. Tropical Storm Cindy is forecast to quickly
weaken through the day as the center moves onshore. Therefore,
the likelihood of tropical storm force winds will steadily decline
throughout the day. However, the pressure gradient over the
region will result in winds of 20-30 MPH continuing through this
evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the inland portions of
CWA and will likely be expanded to include areas currently covered
by the Tropical Storm Warning if/when it is dropped later on
today. The steady southerly fetch of winds to the east of the
center of circulation will also result in continued minor coastal
flooding.

In addition to heavy rains and gusty winds, there will also be a
tornado threat with the tropical rainbands progressing across the
region today. While it can`t be ruled out for the entire area,
the greatest potential for a tornado will be for areas east of a
line extending roughly from Gueydan north to Alexandria.

The remnants of Cindy are forecast to lift out of the region this
evening and into the Tennessee River Valley by Friday afternoon.
However, abundant tropical moisture will remain in place through
the weekend resulting in elevated chances for showers and
thunderstorms.

MARINE...
The center of Tropical Storm Cindy has made landfall this morning
and will continue to lift to the north and northeast through
today. However, a strong pressure gradient will result in winds
and seas remaining elevated. Small Craft Advisory criteria
conditions are expected over the coastal waters and inland bays
and lakes through at least Friday morning. The pressure gradient
is expected to decrease through the day on Friday resulting in
improving conditions over the coastal waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  76  85  75  85 /  70  70  60  70
LCH  80  88  77  87 /  60  60  50  70
LFT  77  86  76  87 /  50  60  40  70
BPT  79  88  77  87 /  60  50  40  70

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ041-
     052>054-073-074.

     Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ027>033-
     041>045-052>055-073-074.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ027>033-041>045-
     052>055-073-074.

TX...Coastal Flood Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ215-216.

     Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ180-201-215-
     216-259>262.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ180-201-215-216-
     259>262.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for GMZ430-432-435-
     450-452-455-470-472-475.

&&

$$


AVIATION...05


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