Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 291636
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1136 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...

See Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours. Widespread cu fields
are expected this afternoon and near the end of the forecast
period, w/bases 4.5-7 kft agl. Little convection is expected in
the wake of the exiting upper trough.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...
Overall VFR expected today but could see some brief stratus/fog
near HOB before 14z. May have a few afternoon storms mainly near
MAF and FST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 453 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A deep upper level low has moved into the Central Plains early
this morning. WV imagery shows very dry air moving into the
backside of the trough over New Mexico and far west Texas keeping
convection today primarily over the eastern half of the CWA. With
the best upper dynamics already pushing east the main trigger for
storms will be any remaining surface boundaries and afternoon
heating.

The trough will weaken as it moves east allowing highs over the
east and west coasts to bridge together across Texas. This will
shut down rain chances after tomorrow though 500mb heights will
not be very high, so would not be surprised to see isolated
afternoon storms develop in the higher elevations. Temperatures
will increase a few degrees but should remain below triple digits
for most locations. Early next week a weak trough moves across the
northern tier of states weakening the ridge slightly and allowing
highs to ease back to near normal.

Hennig

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

44

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