Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 300833
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
233 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
EXTENSIVE MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO WORK NORTH INTO REGION
UNDER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MODELS FOCUS MOST OF PRECIPITATION AND
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TODAY WHERE BEST
INSTABILITY IS PRESENT. MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH THE ELEVATED HUMIDITY CONTINUING WITH THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING DAILY. LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LOW TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL WITH THE
ELEVATED DEW POINTS.
GK

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
BOTH GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS KEEP MONSOONAL FLOW INTACT THROUGH
MONDAY. THE EUROPEAN MODEL DRIVES THROUGH TROF MONDAY AND CUTS OFF
PRECIPITATION QUICKER THAN GFS MODEL DOES. FOR NOW KEPT IN SOME
PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THE PERIOD ON GRIDS.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REGION. VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE LIKELY EXCEPT
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WHERE HEAVY RAIN...REDUCED VISIBILITY AND
CEILINGS...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

VALLE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...MOST
NOTABLY DURING THE AFTERNOONS. LIGHTNING ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS IS POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.

VALLE

&&


.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
IDZ422-475-476.

&&

$$






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