Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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000
FXUS66 KSTO 041604
AFDSTO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
904 AM PDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH DAILY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CALIFORNIA REMAINS BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
4-CORNERS AREA AND LOW PRESSURE OFF THE COAST. VERY MOIST
MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD. ANY STRONG STORMS
THAT MAY FORM WILL LIKELY CONTAIN VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND HAIL.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY START AS EARLY AS AROUND 11 AM THIS MORNING NEAR
THE CREST BUT WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
THE FLOW IS SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING BUT SHIFTS TO THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST FOR THE AFTERNOON SO EXPECT STORMS TO STAY NEAR THE
CREST TODAY. CONCERN TODAY WILL BE WITH ANY STRONG STORMS THAT
FORM AND POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.

DELTA BREEZE CONTINUES AND MAY SLACKEN DURING THE DAY BUT WILL
INCREASE AGAIN THIS EVENING. MARINE LAYER ALONG THE COAST IS AT
AROUND 1400 FEET. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL WARM UP INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 90S FOR THE SACRAMENTO REGION TO NEAR 105 OVER THE FAR
NORTHERN END OF THE VALLEY. THE MOUNTAINS WILL WARM MAINLY INTO
THE 70S AND 80S TODAY.

SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY WITH
CONTINUE CHANCES FOR HIGHER ELEVATION MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS.
&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)

EXTENDED RANGE MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT TRANSITING THE TROUGH
FROM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC ACROSS NORCAL INTO THE GREAT BASIN
LATE NEXT WEEK. THIS PATTERN WOULD FAVOR A CONTINUING CHANCE FOR
MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS ALONG
WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES.
&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDS NEXT 24 HRS EXC LCL MVFR/IFR VCNTY THUNDERSTORMS OMTNS
22Z-04Z. GENLY LGT WINDS BECMG SLY 10-15 KTS IN THE SAC VLY AFT
23Z (NWLY IN THE NRN SJ VLY) EXC WLY 20-30 KTS VCNTY CARQUINEZ
STRAIT.
&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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