Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 060055
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
855 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.UPDATE...
A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY HELPING TO REINFORCE THE RELATIVELY COOL DRY
AIR ACROSS THE REGION. ONE OF THESE HAS MOVED SOUTH ACROSS THE
REGION BRINGING SOME ADDITIONAL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AND A FEW
SPRINKLES TO SOUTHWEST FLORIDA EARLY THIS EVENING. ANOTHER ONE IS
MOVING ACROSS THE NATURE COAST THIS EVENING WITH JUST A NARROW
BAND OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH IT AND MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS. IN THE MEANTIME SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
U.S. WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN STRETCHING ACROSS THE GULF AND FLORIDA BY
SUNDAY. IN GENERAL THE FAIR DRY WEATHER WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY THEN THE MODERATING
TREND WILL GET UNDERWAY EARLY NEXT WEEK. CURRENT GRIDS/ZONE
FORECAST LOOK ON TRACK WITH NO EVENING UPDATE PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING THEN RETURN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
SOMEWHAT BREEZY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE WATERS SUNDAY
WITH LIGHTER WINDS AND AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE. THE HIGH WILL
SHIFT OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED...EXCEPT FOR A SHIFT TO ONSHORE WITH THE
SEA BREEZE EACH AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  61  77  60  79 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  64  81  58  83 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  57  77  56  81 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  62  79  60  80 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  51  75  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  66  75  65  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING
     FOR CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL
     WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER
     FL OUT 20 NM-TAMPA BAY WATERS-WATERS FROM BONITA
     BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM
     ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...69/CLOSE
UPPER AIR...72/NOAH
DECISION SUPPORT...05/CARLISLE



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