Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KTWC 261601
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
900 AM MST THU MAR 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES THROUGH MIDWEEK.
STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL THEN BRING EVEN WARMER
TEMPERATURES...WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS FOR SOME LOCALES THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY THIN CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING SOUTH ACROSS
ARIZONA ON FRONT SIDE OF AMPLIFYING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST.
OTHERWISE EXPECT LOTS OF SUNSHINE TODAY WITH HIGHS SEVERAL DEGREES
WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY.

WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF 2015 THUS FAR ARE ON TAP TOMORROW THRU
SUNDAY WITH RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. CHECK CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 27/12Z.
AREAS OF THIN CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDS INTO THIS EVENING THEN SKC.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 KTS THRU THE FCST PD THOUGH A
FEW HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND...RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. NORMAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND WITH A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS EXPECTED. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM
WILL MOVE IN MONDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.CLIMATE...RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE THIS
UPCOMING WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ON THE 28TH. HERE ARE THE RECORD HIGHS
FOR MARCH 28TH AND 29TH.

LOCATION                   MARCH 28TH      MARCH 29TH
TUCSON INTNL AIRPORT       91 IN 1943      91 IN 1943
AJO                        97 IN 1988      93 IN 1943
PICACHO PEAK               92 IN 1988      93 IN 2004
NOGALES                    84 IN 1986      85 IN 1967
SAFFORD                    91 IN 1988      89 IN 1953
SIERRA VISTA               82 IN 1967      83 IN 2012
TOMBSTONE                  91 IN 1917      86 IN 1943
WILLCOX                    89 IN 1916      88 IN 1916
DOUGLAS                    85 IN 2012      85 IN 2012

THE HISTORICAL AVERAGE FIRST 90 DEGREE DATE IN TUCSON IS APRIL 9TH.
HOWEVER SINCE 2000 THE AVERAGE FIRST DATE IS MARCH 29TH. SO BASED ON
RECENT HISTORY...THE FORECAST FOR THE FIRST 90 DEGREE DATE FOR
TUCSON IS RIGHT ON TIME.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON








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