Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS21 KWNS 270812
FWDDY1

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WRN CONUS...WITH
AN EMBEDDED MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX MOVING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. A
DRYLINE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO THE LOWER SRN/CNTRL
PLAINS...MAINTAINING A DRY AIR MASS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND
SOUTHWEST. FARTHER N...A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE POSITIONED
ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE MID-MO VALLEY...WHILE A WARM FRONT
ADVANCES NWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY.

...PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...
MODERATELY STRONG LOW-MIDLEVEL WLY FLOW WILL PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF
A MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX MOVING INTO THE SRN PLAINS. DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS
WITHIN THIS REGIME WILL SUPPORT VERY DEEP DIURNAL BOUNDARY-LAYER
MIXING TO THE W OF A DRYLINE POSITIONED OVER WRN OK AND N TX DURING
THE AFTERNOON. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH RH VALUES OF 5-10 PERCENT
DURING PEAK HEATING...SUPPORTING AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT.

..ROGERS.. 05/27/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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