024
FNUS73 KMPX 141429
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Training area 54/52...MN DMA Camp Ripley
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
929 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rise to around 70 today and RH
will drop to 30-35 percent this afternoon. East winds around 10
mph expected throughout the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 68.
RH..................45 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /30700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /56400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  62  64  66  67  68  68  67  66  62  58  55
RH..............45  41  39  36  34  33  33  34  37  40  45  49
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   10  9   9   9   9   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.13  14  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  15  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 3.8 4.3 4.6 4.8 5.0 4.8 4.4 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  13  12  13  12  13  13  13  14  13  15  15
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (51200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon, then rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 68.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (67100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Jason Linkert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414095.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.d.linkert.nfg@army.mil