Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 262335
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
535 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF CLOUDINESS
AND A SMALL CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT PRECIP TO OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES
THIS EVENING. PLAN ON NOT INCLUDING ANY POPS IN THE FORECAST
TONIGHT...AS ANY RAIN THAT OCCURS WILL BE VERY BRIEF AND MOST
LIKELY NOT ENOUGH TO MEASURE. LOOKS LIKE THE AXIS OF BEST MOISTURE
WILL STAY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AL/TN STATE LINE.

BEYOND THAT...QUITE THE BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE NEXT 7
DAYS. MODELS INDICATE A LARGELY ZONAL PATTERN DEVELOPING WITH
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL WAVES STAYING TO OUR NORTH. THERE`S ONE COLD
FRONT THAT TRIES TO GET DOWN THIS WAY EARLY NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE
SEEMS TO BE LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT WILL INCLUDE A 20-30
POP MONDAY AND TUESDAY IN DEFERENCE TO THE FRONT`S PROXIMITY.
ASIDE FROM A RATHER CHILLY DAY TOMORROW IN THE WAKE OF THE TODAY`S
CLIPPER...LOOK FOR TEMPS TO BE NEAR TO A BIT ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

/61/


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MAIN CONCERNS ARE SFC WINDS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME MVFR CIGS
ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA AFTER 12Z. A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL
PASS TO THE NORTH OF ALABAMA OVERNIGHT AND CAUSE SFC WINDS TO VEER
FORM SOUTH AT THE START OF THE PERIOD TO NORTHWEST AFTER 14Z.
MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO NO PCPN EXPECTED
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. ONCE THE SFC WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST...
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH COLD AIR ADVECTION TO PRODUCE LOWER CLOUDS
ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA. FOR NOW WILL KEEP CIGS ABOVE 3000 FT AGL...
BUT THERE IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FOR SOME CIGS BELOW 3000 FT AGL.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     35  46  25  51  30 /  10  10   0   0   0
ANNISTON    36  46  26  51  32 /  10   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  36  47  27  52  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  37  50  28  54  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      37  48  29  53  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      38  50  28  52  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  37  53  28  55  32 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        39  53  28  54  32 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






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