Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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FXUS65 KBOI 240848

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boise ID
248 AM MDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...Today through Monday...Northwest flow aloft becomes
southwest today and remains that way through tomorrow. This will
advect hot dry air into the region. We expect very few clouds and
no precipitation in the short term. Smoke will continue to be an
issue near the Pioneer fire in Boise County. Temps in the lower
elevations will be near normal today and then rise 5 to 10 degrees
tomorrow. This will put readings near or just over 100 in many
locations. Winds will be typical for this time of year, and weaker
than in recent days.

.LONG TERM...Monday night through Saturday...Zonal flow is
expected through the period with temperatures 5-10 degrees above
normal (temperatures will reach the upper 90s to 100F in the lower
valleys). A shortwave on Tuesday could have enough moisture for
thunderstorms in Valley County but otherwise the region will
remain dry. High pressure will progressively build over the Four
Corners region pushes north into the region beginning Thursday
reaching peak amplitude on Saturday. The ridge begins to breakdown
on Sunday as a Pacific trough moves over the Pacific Northwest.
Monsoonal moisture looks to remain south and east through the
weekend though it`s possible some of the moisture could make it
north over South-Central Idaho by Sunday afternoon. For now, will
maintain a dry forecast.


.AVIATION...VFR with mostly clear skies today. Expect smoke
layers in the central Idaho Mountains northeast of Idaho City,
especially between Lowman and Atlanta. Surface winds mainly west
to northwest less than 12 kts. Winds aloft through 10k ft msl
northwest 10-15 kts.





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