Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS61 KBTV 280133
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
933 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AND PROVIDE THE REGION WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND CLEARING
SKIES. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO SATURDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL THEN BRING A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS LATER
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE
WEEKEND WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 933 PM EDT THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES FALLING PRETTY QUICKLY
AS CLOUDS ARE DIMINISHING AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN. HAVE UPDATED
GRIDS TO ADJUST TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS DOWNWARD A BIT. REST
OF FORECAST REMAINS INTACT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 340 PM EDT THURSDAY...SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUED MAINLY CLEAR FRIDAY NIGHT. 925
MB TEMPS CLIMB TO 16-18C FRIDAY...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR MAX TEMPS
IN THE VALLEYS TO REACH THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FRIDAY
NIGHT WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S...EXCEPT 40S IN THE ADIRONDACKS
AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST KINGDOM. LOOK FOR SOME PATCHY FOG ONCE
AGAIN IN THE NORMAL SPOTS.

THE WARMING TREND AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO SATURDAY
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER...A
WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW ALOFT MAY TRIGGER A FEW SCATTERED
SHOWERS LATER SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPS SLIGHTLY WARMER
SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 252 PM EDT THURSDAY...FORECAST FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD
REMAINS ON TRACK WITH A WARM SUMMER- LIKE PATTERN RETURNING TO THE
NORTH COUNTRY FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. OUTSIDE OF A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH PASSAGE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH MAY PROVIDE SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS, THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL
LARGELY BE DOMINATED BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND A BUILDING RIDGE
ALOFT RESULTING IN ABNORMALLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MEAN 925-850MB TEMPS START OUT ON SUNDAY AT 12-18C
RESPECTIVELY AND TICK UP A DEGREE OR TWO EACH DAY TOPPING OUT MID-
WEEK AT 15-22C. THIS SUPPORTS HIGHS LATE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S, WARMING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S MID-
WEEK UNDER PARTIAL TO FULL SUNSHINE.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING SOME LATE NIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING LIFR FOG/BR AT A FEW SITES. SCT TO OCCASIONALLY BKN VFR
DECK WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH A GRADUAL
DISSIPATING TREND IS ANTICIPATED. IFR/LIFR FOG EXPECTED AT
MPV/SLK OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SOME FOG/BR ALSO
POSSIBLE AT MSS...BUT DENSITY/DURATION IS UNCERTAIN FOR NOW...SO
WILL SHOW 3SM BR. NO FOG/BR DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED BTV/PBG/RUT.
WINDS LIGHT AND LOCALLY VARIABLE TONIGHT TURN GENERALLY WESTERLY
ON FRIDAY FROM 4-7 KNOTS...EXCEPT SE AT PBG WITH LAKE BREEZE.

OUTLOOK 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
00Z SAT - 18Z SAT...VFR. EARLY MORNING VLIFR/LIFR FOG LIKELY AT
KMPV/KSLK. CHANCE BR/FOG ELSEWHERE.
18Z SAT - 00Z MON...MAINLY VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE -SHRA.
00Z MON - 00Z WED...VFR. VLIFR/LIFR FOG LIKELY AT KMPV/KSLK.
CHANCE BR/FOG ELSEWHERE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF/MUCCILLI



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.