Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 072051
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
251 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
THE MAIN SHORT TERM ISSUE WILL BE A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE
CWA OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL SWITCH WINDS FROM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND INCREASE SPEEDS TO 15G30KT. THE WIND SHIFT
WILL BE BETWEEN 06Z-09Z AT MOST LOCATIONS...WITH THE INCREASE IN
SPEED FROM 16Z-21Z. THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY DRY AIR WILL PRODUCE
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
HALF OF THE AREA...SEE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS. WE
DID PLACE PATCHY FOG IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES NEAR THE COAST
FOR LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE THE FRONT COMES THROUGH.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE REX BLOCK OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BREAKDOWN AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES...RESULTING IN MINOR RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THE RESULT OF THAT WILL BE A WARMING TREND AND CONTINUED DRY
WEATHER THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE
FROM 65-70F ON TUESDAY TO 75-80F AT MANY LOCATIONS THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. SOME WEAK FRONTS MAY BRING TEMPORARY WIND SHIFTS
TO TEMPER THE WARMING...BUT NO CHANCES FOR RAIN. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL BE WITH A STRONGER FRONT LATE SUNDAY INTO NEXT
MONDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              41  61  38  66  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  38  61  33  65  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     40  63  36  67  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            37  58  34  64  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           41  64  37  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        38  60  34  64  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             38  65  34  69  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        39  62  35  66  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   40  61  36  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       41  63  37  67  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           41  65  38  68  41 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY AFTERNOON NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM
LLANO TO SAN MARCOS TO HALLETTSVILLE.

&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...ALLEN
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...26
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30


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