Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 292340
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
640 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
NO MAJOR CONCERNS FOR THIS PERIOD. THERE WILL BE SOME MID TO HIGH
CLOUDS MOVING INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH VFR CIGS. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 230 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
WEAK UPPER LOW OVER WEST TEXAS WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LOW LEVELS REMAIN TOO DRY HOWEVER TO
PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIP WITH THE SYSTEM. CANT RULE OUT A
STRAY SHOWER OVER THE HILL COUNTRY LATER TONIGHT...OR
SUNDAY...BUT ANY LIGHT RAIN WOULD LIKELY BE FALLING MAINLY OUT OF
MID CLOUDS AND WIND UP AS VIRGA. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A
FEW TRACE AMOUNTS. BIGGER IMPACT WILL JUST COME FROM THE THICKER
CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. WILL LIKELY SEE SOME WARMER TEMPS
OVERNIGHT AS A RESULT...AND A FEW DEGREES COOLER ON THE MAX TEMPS
ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE UPPER LOW WILL NOT MOVE MUCH THIS WEEK...STAYING
OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF TEXAS.  THE TROF AXIS FROM THE ARKLATEX
DOWN INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL BE TOO FAR EAST TO GIVE AS ANY
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RETURN THROUGH MID WEEK. AM INCLUDING LOWER END
POP ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST COASTAL ZONES STARTING MONDAY
AFTERNOON...LASTING EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. THIS
IS A RESULT OF SLIGHTLY DEEPER MOISTURE. THE PATTERN OUT WEST
WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WHEN TROFFING DEVELOPS ON
THE WEST COAST SENDING MOISTURE UP THROUGH MEXICO INTO THE DESERT
SW AND WEST TEXAS. GFS IS STRONGER ON A TROF NEAR CALIFORNIA BY
NEXT WEEKEND WHEN COMPARED TO THE ECMWF. EITHER WAY...WE APPEAR
TO BE STUCK BETWEEN SYSTEMS AT THE END OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE TROF
TO THE WEST AND A DEEPENING LOW ALONG THE TX/LA BORDER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              73  96  74  95  74 /  10  10  -   -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  70  94  70  94  71 /  10  10  -   -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     71  95  72  96  72 /  -   10  -   -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            72  94  72  94  72 /  10  10  -   -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           74  97  74  98  75 /  10  10  -    0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        73  95  73  95  73 /  10  10  -   -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             70  95  71  96  70 /  -   10  -   -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        71  93  72  94  72 /  10  10  -   -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   72  94  73  94  73 /   0  10  -   10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       73  95  73  95  74 /  -   10  -   -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           72  96  73  96  73 /  -   10  -   -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY


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