Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 011600
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1100 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THE FCST FOR THIS AFTN. AIRMASS WILL
CONTINUE TO RECOVER FROM OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY BUT THE WAIT MAY NOT
BE TOO LONG BEFORE THINGS GET GOING ONCE AGAIN. GIVEN THE +2"PWS
AND THE PROXIMITY OF THE SFC BOUNDARY..HIGHEST POPS WILL BE OVER
THE COASTAL COUNTIES FOR THE AFTN/EARLY EVE HRS. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY AND FLOODING RAINFALL
IN/AROUND THE HOUSTON METRO AREA CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WORK THEIR
WAY SOUTHWARD TOWARDS PORTIONS OF OUR COASTAL COUNTIES AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SLOWLY WORKS ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA. RAINFALL WITH
EARLIER STORMS ACROSS HARRIS COUNTY (VIA THE COUNTY`S FLOOD
WARNING SYSTEM) INCLUDED 5.68 INCHES IN 1 1/2 HOURS ON GREENS
BAYOU AT HIGHWAY 59...A 6.56 INCH TOTAL AT ALDINE WESTFIELD...AND
A 5.40 INCH TOTAL AT I-45 AND WEST ROAD. AT ONE POINT...HOURLY
RATES WERE AS HIGH AS 4 TO 5 INCHES ALONG THE BELTWAY 8 AND
HIGHWAY 59 AREA. CURRENTLY...STORM MERGERS ALONG WITH HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR MORE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING THROUGH SUNRISE MAINLY
BETWEEN HIGHWAY 59 AND THE COAST. WITH THE FRONT MOVING SLOWLY
ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY TODAY...ANY DAYTIME HEATING AND
RECOVERY FROM THE OVERNIGHT STORMS WOULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MEANDER BACK AND FORTH ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND...SO WILL
CONTINUE TO KEEP RAIN IN THE FORECAST WITH THE LOWER CHANCES
NORTHWEST AND THE HIGHER VALUES NEAR THE COAST. NEXT WEEK`S
WEATHER IS GOING TO DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH/LOCATION OF UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING CENTERED TO OUR WEST. PORTIONS OF OUR AREA LOOK TO BE ON
THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME MAINLY
DAYTIME SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. 42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      89  71  90  71  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              89  73  90  73  92 /  40  30  30  20  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            87  78  89  78  89 /  50  30  40  30  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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