Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS61 KILN 191751
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
151 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER ONTARIO WILL EXTEND SOUTH ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. BASED ON THE LATEST 925 MB TEMPERATURE
FORECASTS...HAVE NUDGED TEMPERATURES UP A LITTLE ACROSS THE SRN
TWO THIRDS OF THE CWFA. THE NRN CWFA LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK AND MUCH
COOLER GIVEN ENE AIR FLOW COMING OFF A COLD LAKE ERIE.
THUS...UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER
60S NORTH TO THE LOWER 70S ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE REGION INTO MONDAY AS
IT SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST WITH TIME. CLOUD COVER WILL BE AT A MINIMUM
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PERHAPS SOME DIURNAL CUMULUS. DRY
ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN A FAIRLY LARGE DIURNAL RANGE. AFTER A
RELATIVELY COOL NIGHT TONIGHT READINGS WILL REBOUND TO ABOVE
NORMAL AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. MOISTURE
WILL START TO INCREASE ON MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT OFF TO
THE WEST. ALTHOUGH FORCING IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG OR
ORGANIZED...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN WESTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. SHOWERS STILL SEEM LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM. INSTABILITY
LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS POINT WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. COOL DOWN
WILL BE BRIEF WITH READINGS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND
THEN BACK ABOVE NORMAL ON THURSDAY. NEXT COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR JAMES BAY WILL MOVE TO EASTERN QUEBEC
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE AXIS WILL EXTENDED SOUTHWEST INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. EAST/NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

ON SUNDAY...RETURN FLOW FROM DEPARTING HIGH TO OUR EAST WILL ALLOW
WINDS TO VEER TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGH CLOUDS WILL SPILL
INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...HICKMAN
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...HICKMAN






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.