Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 091054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
ONLY CONCERN WILL BE WINDS DURING THE DAY.  AREA 88D VWPS
ARE SHOWING NW WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE.  WINDS WILL NOT BE
AS STRONG BUT BREEZY TO GUSTY NW WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH THE DAY. CONDITIONS IDEAL FOR BOUNDARY LAYER
DECOUPLING AFTER SUNSET SO WILL DIMINISH WINDS SIGNIFICANTLY
AROUND 02Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 428 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2016/

DISCUSSION...
THE DRY COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION IS PRODUCING DEW
POINTS IN THE TEENS THIS MORNING. WITH NORTHERLY WINDS THE DEW
POINTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO RECOVER MUCH THROUGH THE DAY. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT AND A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL SEE BRISK
WINDS BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO WEATHER FACTORS WILL
ELEVATED THE FIRE THREAT AGAIN TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
CLIMB INTO THE 50S UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

BY TOMORROW MORNING HIGH PRESSURE WILL HAVE SETTLED INTO THE
REGION AND WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE INTO THE GULF DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE BACK INTO THE 30S.

TOWARDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL
ALLOW FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS TO BRING IN HIGHER DEW POINTS. THIS
WILL ALLOW MORNING LOWS TO JUMP INTO THE 40S THEN INTO THE 50S BY
FRIDAY. THE GOOD NEWS WITH SUNNY SKIES LOOKING FOR 70S ON THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  56  33  59  41 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  59  37  62  47 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  56  38  59  44 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  62  38  64  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
     FOR LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-074.

TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ452-455-
     470-472-475.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THIS EVENING FOR GMZ450-452-455-470-
     472-475.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR GMZ452-455-
     470-472-475.

     LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ430-432-435.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ430-
     432-435.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ450.

&&

$$


AVIATION...04


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