Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 291140
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
635 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.Discussion...
For the 12Z TAF issuance.

&&

.Aviation...
Mainly VFR today with some vicinity tstms in the forecast for this
afternoon as the area remains under very weak low pressure axis
aloft.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Weather map shows weak pressure gradient over the NW Gulf as high
pressure continues settled over the region. Broad low pressure
trof axis aloft over much of East Texas/Louisiana into the
Western Gulf. On radar, isolated showers across the coastal
waters.

Expecting near normal coverage of showers and thunderstorms (30%) this
afternoon, with the sea breeze coupled with afternoon heating the
primary focus for convection.

For Saturday, additional instability aloft with the already
abundant moisture will lead to an increase in showers and
thunderstorms by late morning into the afternoon. For this,
keeping current trends of 40-50% for most of SE TX/C & S LA.

For the remainder of the forecast period, mainly sea-breeze late
morning and afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures
near normal.

&&

.MARINE...
SE to S winds 5-10 kts and seas 1-3 ft expected thru early next
week as high pressure continues over the northern Gulf of Mexico.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue
through the period as general low pressure weakness aloft remains
over the western Gulf into Southeast Texas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  94  76  94  76 /  30  20  40  20
LCH  92  78  91  78 /  30  20  50  20
LFT  92  76  91  76 /  30  20  50  20
BPT  92  78  92  78 /  30  20  50  20

&&

.LCH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...08


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