Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 202145
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
245 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LINGER OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND EXTREME NORTHERN NEVADA THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES COOL BY 5-10 DEGREES ON SATURDAY WITH A WARMING TREND
SUNDAY ON INTO NEXT WEEK. MAY SEE SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEVADA MONDAY...OTHERWISE DRY SUNDAY THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON. MAIN FOCUS HOWEVER SHOULD BE OVER EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN WHITE PINE/EASTERN NYE
COUNTIES WHERE FAVORABLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY LINGER. MAY SEE
SOME ISOLATED STORM ACTIVITY OVER SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY AND
EASTERN WHITE PINE AGAIN ON THURSDAY...HOWEVER MAIN FOCUS WILL
OVER NORTH-CENTRAL TO NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY AS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE CLIPPING NORTHERN NEVADA COMBINES WITH THE LINGERING
MOISTURE. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DROPS INTO NORTHERN NEVADA
FRIDAY...BRINGING WITH IT INCREASING WINDS OVER THE ENTIRE
CWA...ALONG WITH MORE INSTABILITY OVER GENERALLY NORTHERN AND
EASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE
DEPICTING AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS IDAHO...WITH
A COLD FRONT POISED TO TRAVERSE THE AREA. KEPT POPS CONFINED TO
THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR SATURDAY...WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S OVER
MOST OF THE REGION. ATMOSPHERE IS ANTICIPATED TO DRY OUT SUNDAY
WITH A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO
REMAIN COOL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH READINGS CHECKING IN THE
UPPER 70S. DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS CROP UP ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER
TROUGH TRIES TO DIG SOUTH. MODELS ARE DIFFERENT IN THE POSITION
AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...AND SO BROAD-BRUSHED POPS IN THE
NORTHEAST FOR MONDAY...WITH DRIER CONDITIONS OCCURRING TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ISOLATED -TSRA WILL DIMINISH TODAY AFTER SUNSET. DRIER AIR
WILL WORK INTO THE AREA THURSDAY...WITH VCTS FORECAST FOR KELY IN
THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND NORTHERN NEVADA
THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS INCREASE FRIDAY AS A 90KT JET ASSOCIATED
WITH AN APPROACHING TROUGH MOVES IN OVER THE GREAT BASIN.
HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS HOWEVER.
AT THIS TIME ZONE 454 LOOKS TO BE THE DRIEST ON FRIDAY...WITH
HUMIDITIES IN THE 15-20% RANGE. COOLER ON SATURDAY AS THE TROUGH
CENTERS OVER THE GREAT BASIN...WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER
MAINLY 470 AND EASTERN 455. WARMING TREND SUNDAY INTO NEXT
WEEK...WITH ONE MORE SHOT AT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON MONDAY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

96/86/86/96




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