Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 061226
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
626 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

.AVIATION...06/12Z TAF CYCLE

Overnight rainfall has shifted E of the FA this mrng, with mainly
MVFR/IFR cigs noted. Patchy fog/drizzle wl be possible early in
the PD as well. A CDFNT was poised just to the NW of the area this
mrng. The bndry wl cont to work EWD thru the region today. Expect
VFR conds to return to mainly NRN AR this aftn as drier air
filters into behind FROPA. Combo of VFR/MVFR cigs wl prevail
elsewhere as low lvl moisture persists ahead of next sys that wl
affect the area on Wed. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 350 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016)

SHORT TERM...Today Through Wednesday Night

Upr low was centered ovr NERN LA early this mrng...with a large area
of rain/isold tsra noted acrs much of the FA. The sys wl cont to
lift NEWD away fm the area this mrng...with steadier rain tapering
off thru the remainder of the mrng. Meanwhile...initial CDFNT
extended fm NW MO back into Cntrl OK.

Wl cont to mention lingering patchy fog and drizzle thru midday ovr
most areas ahead of the aforementioned CDFNT that wl work thru AR
later today. Still looking at a lull in organized precip acrs the
region heading into Wed thanks to a weak area of high pres.

Small precip chcs return late Wed into Wed ngt ahead of the arctic
CDFNT apchg fm the NW. The bndry wl interact with some Srn stream
moisture/lift to produce some lgt rain. As low lvl colder air
filters into the FA...still expect a brief mix of rain/snow before
ending as lgt snow acrs NRN AR. The colder airmass wl encompass the
FA heading into the long term.

LONG TERM...Thursday Through Tuesday

A broad upper trough will be over the Great Lakes to the Southern
Plains to begin the period with an upper ridge over the west coast.
The upper trough moves to the east coast by Friday morning and the
upper ridge moves to the Rockies. Northwest flow over Arkansas
becomes zonal Saturday and southwest flow reutrns Saturday night and
Sunday. An upper low moves through the upper Great Lakes Sunday.
Northwest flow returns Monday and Tuesday.

Arctic high pressure will be moving into the area Thursday. This
will bring very cold air to the region through Saturday morning.
Lows will be in the teens and 20s Thursday night and in the low to
mid 20s across the area Friday night. Dry conditions will continue
through Saturday.

As the surface low moves east of the area, rain chances will
increase Saturday night and Sunday. Will continue the rain chances
into Monday night, and Tuesday will be dry given the passage of a
cold front. Warmer temperatures in the 50s are expected Sunday
through Tuesday.
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.