Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 230057
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
157 PM SST TUE JUL 22 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE CLOSE TO THE SAMOAN ISLANDS AND BRING
AN UPTICK IN SHOWERS AND CLOUDS EARLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THIS TROUGH LINE IS EXPECTED TO BE PUSHED FURTHER NORTH OF
THE ISLANDS BY THURSDAY BY A STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
THE SOUTHWEST. HENCE...EXPECT SHOWERS IN THE SHORT TERM...TRENDING
TOWARDS DIMINISHING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS BY THURSDAY...WITH
INCREASING WINDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER SOUTH OF
THE ISLANDS.

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
TRADES WILL DOMINATE THE FIRST DAYS OF THE LONG TERM...THEN MODELS
ARE SHOWING THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH LINE TO THE NORTH OF THE
ISLANDS DESCENDING BACK TOWARDS THE TERRITORY BY SUNDAY. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BRING AN UPTICK IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY WITH IMPROVEMENT THEREAFTER. THE MODERATE TO FRESH
SOUTHEASTERLIES WILL ALSO PREVAIL THROUGH THE LONG TERM...THEN
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AND BECOME VARIABLE BY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
LATEST SOLUTIONS ARE KEEPING SIMILAR OUTPUTS AS PREVIOUS
ONES...WITH DIMINISHING SEAS THIS EVENING TO BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS
AND ANOTHER LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELL REACHING COASTAL WATERS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HENCE...WILL CANCEL
THE ADVISORIES FOR HIGH SURF AND SMALL CRAFT AS CONDITIONS HAVE
IMPROVED...AND WILL LIKELY ISSUE THEM AGAIN BY THURSDAY.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED.

&&

$$
LUTU-MCMOORE






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